Result
3:0
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 4
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (578/638) | 77% (253/329) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.98 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (578/638) | 77% (253/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (31/47) | 18% (6/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (157/192) | 56% (33/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 79% (19/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 3.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Beljo D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Bangura S. ↓, Jay A. ↑,
- 53', Maresic D. 🟨,
- 64', Stojkovic L. 🟨,
- 64', Radosevic J. 🟨,
- 66', Vidovic G. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
- 70', Mauric A. ↓, Frederiksen E. ↑,
- 73', Ljubicic D. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
- 73', Beljo D. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
- 74', Rozic V. 🟨,
- 76', Heister M. ↓, Celija D. ↑,
- 76', Taraba F. ↓, Kadusic A. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Villar G. ⚽, Goda B. (A),
- 84', Lisica M. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
- 84', Stojkovic L. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 85', Rozic V. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 0, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Soldo M. (A),
- 90+4', Kulenovic S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dinamo Zagreb
73.8% | Draw
17.2% | Istra 1961
9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Zagreb's performance.Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.36) |
5.59 ↑
(4.82) |
10.77 ↑
(7.35) |
4.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 22 - 91.7%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 80.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dinamo Zagreb will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 3.
- Dinamo Zagreb has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Istra 1961 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dinamo Zagreb may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Cavlina N.
(Inactive)
Pierre-Gabriel R.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
Zajc M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Kadusic A.
(Inactive)
Prevljak S.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Dinamo Zagreb will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:14. (average 2.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:7. (average 3.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961 were as follows:
05.04.2025
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
3:0
25.01.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
3:1
19.10.2024
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
02.08.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
5:0
07.04.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
4:1
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | D. Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 16 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gorica | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Osijek | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
