Result
4:0
14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 22
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 0.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (424/482) | 81% (289/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.73 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (424/482) | 81% (289/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (26/45) | 44% (17/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (109/137) | 61% (52/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 4.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, McKenna S. ⚽,
- 35', Dominguez S. 🟨,
- 38', Miettinen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Kumar R. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
- 46', Dominguez S. ↓, Galesic N. ↑,
- 47', Prevljak S. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Beljo D. ⚽,
- 62', Topic F. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
- 64', Ahmeti D. ↓, Albarracin G. ↑,
- 64', Nasraoui M. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
- 72', Frederiksen E. 🟨,
- 73', 3 - 0, Zajc M. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
- 74', Stojkovic L. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
- 74', Frederiksen E. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 80', Hoxha A. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
- 80', Misic J. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 83', Kadusic A. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 0, Vidovic G. ⚽,
- 90+2', Loncar S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dinamo Zagreb
70.4% | Draw
18.8% | Istra 1961
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↑
(1.31) |
5.06 ↑
(4.83) |
8.58 ↑
(8.27) |
7.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 2.
- Dinamo Zagreb is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Istra 1961 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Istra 1961 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I.
(Injury)
Lisica M.
(Illness)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Djuric D.
(Inactive)
Mauric A.
(Inactive)
Robertsson L.
(Inactive)
Rozic V.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:16. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:7. (average 3.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961 were as follows:
09.11.2025
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:1
23.08.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
3:0
05.04.2025
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
3:0
25.01.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
3:1
19.10.2024
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 56:19 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36:21 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
| 9 | Osijek | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
