Result
3:0
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 4
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Italy | Como TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.07 | 0.08 |
Ball Possession |
---|
66% | 34% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
91% (578/638) | 77% (253/329) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.07 | 0.08 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.98 | 0.08 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
33 | 6 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
91% (578/638) | 77% (253/329) |
Long passes |
---|
66% (31/47) | 18% (6/34) |
Passes in final third |
---|
82% (157/192) | 56% (33/59) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (5/22) | 17% (1/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.39 | 0.14 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 4 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (9/16) | 79% (19/24) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
9 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.08 | 3.98 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.08 | 0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Beljo D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Bangura S. ↓, Jay A. ↑,
- 53', Maresic D. 🟨,
- 64', Stojkovic L. 🟨,
- 64', Radosevic J. 🟨,
- 66', Vidovic G. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
- 70', Mauric A. ↓, Frederiksen E. ↑,
- 73', Ljubicic D. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
- 73', Beljo D. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
- 74', Rozic V. 🟨,
- 76', Heister M. ↓, Celija D. ↑,
- 76', Taraba F. ↓, Kadusic A. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Villar G. ⚽, Goda B. (A),
- 84', Lisica M. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
- 84', Stojkovic L. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 85', Rozic V. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 0, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Soldo M. (A),
- 90+4', Kulenovic S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dinamo Zagreb 73.8% | Draw 17.2% | Istra 1961 9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Zagreb's performance.Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.29 ↓ (1.36) |
5.59 ↑ (4.82) |
10.77 ↑ (7.35) |
4.8% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 22 - 91.7%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 80.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dinamo Zagreb will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 3.
- Dinamo Zagreb has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Istra 1961 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dinamo Zagreb may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Cavlina N.
(Inactive)
Pierre-Gabriel R.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
Zajc M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Kadusic A.
(Inactive)
Prevljak S.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Dinamo Zagreb will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:14. (average 2.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:7. (average 3.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961 were as follows:
05.04.2025
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
3:0
25.01.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
3:1
19.10.2024
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
02.08.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
5:0
07.04.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
4:1
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 19 |
2 | Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 16 |
3 | Varazdin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
4 | Lok. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
5 | Gorica | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
6 | Osijek | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
7 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
8 | Slaven Belupo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
9 | Rijeka | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
10 | Vukovar 1991 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL