Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 13
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Italy | Como TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 2.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (208/300) | 85% (453/531) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 21 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (208/300) | 85% (453/531) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (13/63) | 47% (18/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (32/62) | 81% (170/211) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 26% (13/50) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Lawal S. ⚽,
- 27', Kadusic A. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Lawal S. ⚽, Kadusic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bennacer I. ↓, Ljubicic D. ↑,
- 53', Jay A. 🟨,
- 54', McKenna S. 🟨,
- 59', Beljo D. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
- 60', Kadusic A. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
- 61', Jay A. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
- 63', Mauric A. 🟨,
- 65', Nasraoui M. ↓, Ayuma I. ↑,
- 65', Zajc M. 🟨,
- 73', Zajc M. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
- 74', Hoxha A. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Bakrar M. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
- 83', Perez Vinlof M. ↓, Mudrazija R. ↑,
- 83', Frederiksen E. ↓, Ivanisevic J. ↑,
- 83', Lawal S. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 84', Kolic F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Loncar S. 🟨,
- 90+6', Ljubicic D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Heister M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961 16.8% | Draw 23.1% | Dinamo Zagreb 60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.52 ↑ (5.28) |
4.05 ↓ (4.17) |
1.55 ↑ (1.53) |
7.4% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 62.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Dinamo Zagreb may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Kadusic A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I.
(Inactive)
Misic J.
(Yellow Cards)
Pierre-Gabriel R.
(Injury)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
Valincic M.
(Inactive)
Zivkovic M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Istra 1961: Koski V.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Bakrar M.
(Inactive)
Stojkovic L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 14:45. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
23.08.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
3:0
05.04.2025
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
3:0
25.01.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
3:1
19.10.2024
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
02.08.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
5:0
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Din. Zagreb | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25:12 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 4 | Istra 1961 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 6 | Lok. Zagreb | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 7 | Gorica | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Rijeka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 11 |
| 10 | Osijek | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL