Result
3:0
05/04/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 28
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (268/341) | 82% (335/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (268/341) | 82% (335/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (19/49) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (75/107) | 67% (86/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 50% (9/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.06 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Loncar S. ⚽, Rozic V. (A),
- 29', Stojkovic L. 🟨,
- 40', Misic J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kulenovic S. ↓, Petkovic B. ↑,
- 46', Pjaca M. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
- 46', Ademi A. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Loncar S. ⚽, Mauric A. (A),
- 55', Gagua G. 🟨,
- 61', Baturina M. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
- 64', Rozic V. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 0, Lawal S. ⚽, Mauric A. (A),
- 70', Pierre-Gabriel R. 🟨,
- 74', Lisica M. ↓, Kadusic A. ↑,
- 83', Stojkovic L. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
- 85', Kadusic A. 🟨,
- 88', Gagua G. ↓, Fucak K. ↑,
- 88', Loncar S. ↓, Calusic I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
16.8% | Draw
24.2% | Dinamo Zagreb
59.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.61 ↑
(4.63) |
3.87 ↑
(3.8) |
1.58 ↓
(1.69) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Dinamo Zagreb will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 0.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Dinamo Zagreb could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Dinamo Zagreb is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 11:48 (average 0.6:2.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Istra 1961 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4:12 (average 0.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
25.01.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
3:1
19.10.2024
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
02.08.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
5:0
07.04.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
4:1
27.01.2024
Istra 1961
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:1
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Lok. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Osijek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
