Diocesano vs Don Benito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Diocesano
21.5%
Draw
27.9%
Don Benito
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 25.7% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 24.7% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Don Benito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Benito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Diocesano - Don Benito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.22
    (5)
    3.25
    (3.55)
    1.79
    (1.63)
    10.2%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Diocesano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Don Benito is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Don Benito is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Diocesano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Don Benito were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Don Benito - Diocesano 1:0
    12.10.2023 Diocesano - Don Benito 0:2
    17.12.2022 Diocesano - Don Benito 4:0
    Latest results of Diocesano
    20.12.2025 Santa Amalia - Diocesano 1:0
    14.12.2025 Diocesano - Azuaga 3:1
    07.12.2025 Gévora - Diocesano 0:0
    23.11.2025 Diocesano - Calamonte 1:1
    Latest results of Don Benito
    20.12.2025 Don Benito - Villafranca 3:0
    14.12.2025 Don Benito - Jerez 1:1
    07.12.2025 Santa Amalia - Don Benito 0:2
    23.11.2025 Azuaga - Don Benito 2:1
    16.11.2025 Gévora - Don Benito 0:3
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito23146347:143348
    2Moralo23118435:241141
    3Cabeza del Buey231010330:171340
    4Jaraiz23109435:221339
    5CD Badajoz23125630:191138
    6Azuaga23107632:24837
    7Llerenense23104925:22334
    8Villanovense2397725:23234
    9Jerez CF23615236:261033
    10Villafranca2395927:28-132
    11Montijo23941025:25031
    12Puebla23611624:26-229
    13Santa Amalia23851022:28-629
    14Gevora23481121:36-1520
    15CD Calamonte233101018:28-1019
    16Diocesano22471122:37-1519
    17Montehermoso23361416:41-2515
    18Pueblonuevo22251514:44-3011

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