Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 22
- Referee: Kovacs I. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Hungary | Duna World / M4 Sport + |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 2.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (149/253) | 65% (172/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (149/253) | 65% (172/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (30/68) | 36% (26/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (79/144) | 57% (42/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Windecker J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 13', Mucsanyi M. 🟨,
- 22', Colley L. 🟨,
- 34', Holdampf G. 🟨,
- 38', Papp K. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
- 43', Hinora K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', Esiti A. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 56', Croizet Y. ↓, Sajban M. ↑,
- 59', Alaxai A. 🟨,
- 60', Bardos B. 🟨,
- 68', Bokros S. 🟨,
- 71', Vallejo A. ↓, Roguljic A. ↑,
- 71', Mucsanyi M. ↓, Ambrose P. ↑,
- 75', Hinora K. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
- 75', Toth B. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
- 77', Sentic K. 🟨,
- 82', Colley L. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 1, Roguljic A. ⚽,
- 85', Zeke M. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 2, Keita A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Gyurkits G. ⚽, Balogh B. (A),
- 90+5', Lenzser B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
59.5% | Draw
21.3% | Diósgyőri
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Paksi SE - Diósgyőri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.56) |
4.4 ↑
(4.33) |
4.85 ↑
(4.75) |
7.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Diósgyőri?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Diósgyőri will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paks (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ NB II.).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 1.
- Paks has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Diósgyőri's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Paks is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:33. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 2.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Diósgyőri?
Paksi SE has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against Paksi SE?
Diósgyőri has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Diósgyőri were as follows:
11.02.2026
Paksi SE
-
Diósgyőri
2:6
25.10.2025
Diósgyőri
-
Paksi SE
2:1
08.03.2025
Diósgyőri
-
Paksi SE
0:2
03.11.2024
Paksi SE
-
Diósgyőri
3:4
28.07.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Paksi SE
2:2
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 58:29 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 55:29 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Zalaegerszegi | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Debrecen | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | Paks | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 54:39 | 15 | 44 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:37 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 50:58 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 38:46 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | DVTK | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36:52 | -16 | 25 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika ✔ | 29 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 27:63 | -36 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kazincbarcika is Relegated to NB II.
