Result
1:0
12/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Almanasa |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 86', 1 - 0, Opare C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Diyala
36.7% | Draw
31.4% | Arbil
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Diyala - Arbil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.44) |
2.89 ↓
(2.92) |
2.84 ↓
(2.87) |
10.3%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).
- Diyala is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arbil's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arbil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Arbil?
Diyala has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Diyala?
Arbil has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diyala - Arbil were as follows:
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Diyala | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Erbil | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Gharraf | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Al Naft | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Zakho | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Shorta | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Al Minaa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Al Karkh | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Al Talaba | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Baghdad | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Duhok | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Al Najaf | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Naft Missan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Newroz | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Al Zawraa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Al-Qassim | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Al Kahraba | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
