Result
Postponed
01/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Al Iraqiya Sports |
Chances of winning
Arbil
42.9% | Draw
31.1% | Diyala
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Arbil - Diyala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1
(2.1) |
2.91 ↓
(3.03) |
3.48 ↓
(3.49) |
10.7%
(9.3%) | |
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Arbil will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Diyala?
Arbil has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Arbil?
Diyala has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arbil - Diyala were as follows:
22.12.2025
Diyala
-
Arbil
1:1
12.05.2025
Diyala
-
Arbil
1:0
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 27:10 | 17 | 46 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 35:13 | 22 | 44 |
| 3 | Al-Karma | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Erbil | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Al Talaba | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Zakho | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Al Zawraa | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Gharraf | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Diyala | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 28 |
| 11 | Duhok | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 27 |
| 12 | Newroz | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 24 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Baghdad | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 18 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13:37 | -24 | 8 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 20 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6:47 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
