Diyala vs Arbil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Iraqi Premier League Diyala - Arbil
Result
1:0
12/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Stars League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
iraqIraqAlmanasa

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 86', 1 - 0, Opare C. ,

Chances of winning


Diyala
36.7%
Draw
31.4%
Arbil
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 31.1% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 30.5% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Diyala - Arbil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.44)
    2.89
    (2.92)
    2.84
    (2.87)
    10.3%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).
    • Diyala is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arbil's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arbil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Diyala
    08.05.2025 Al-Zawraa - Diyala 1:0
    02.05.2025 Diyala - Najaf 0:0
    26.04.2025 Zakho - Diyala 0:1
    21.04.2025 Naft Maysan - Diyala 0:1
    16.04.2025 Diyala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 2:1
    Latest results of Arbil
    07.05.2025 Arbil - Naft Maysan 3:2
    02.05.2025 Karbala - Arbil 0:2
    28.04.2025 Arbil - Al-Shorta Baghdad 0:2
    23.04.2025 Al-Karma - Arbil 1:0
    16.04.2025 Arbil - Al-Naft 2:3
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1BaghdadNaft Al-Basra1 : 0