Result
2:0
23/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Al Iraqiya Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Cabrera M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 2 - 0, Cabrera M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arbil
48% | Draw
28.9% | Diyala
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Arbil - Diyala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.1) |
3.1 ↑
(3.03) |
3.87 ↑
(3.49) |
11.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arbil - Diyala?
Users Predictions:
Arbil will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Arbil will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Diyala?
Arbil has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Arbil?
Diyala has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arbil - Diyala were as follows:
22.12.2025
Diyala
-
Arbil
1:1
12.05.2025
Diyala
-
Arbil
1:0
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 42:15 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Talaba | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 50 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Duhok | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Diyala | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 30 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30:36 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 28 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19:51 | -32 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
