Dolphins vs Newcastle Knights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Dolphins - Newcastle Knights
Result
20:26
21/06/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Tries
45
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
55
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
4060
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
199181
Metres Run With Ball
17731573

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 16)
  • 5', Sharpe F. (Try),
  • 6', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 11', Nikorima K. (Try),
  • 13', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 19', Best B. (Try),
  • 20', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Young D. (Try),
  • 26', Gagai D. (Missed Conversion),
  • 32', Lemuelu C. (Try),
  • 33', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 10)
  • 54', Isaako J. (Try),
  • 56', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 60', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
  • 62', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Best B. (Try),
  • 66', Gagai D. (Missed Conversion),
  • 79', Jones B. (Try),
  • 80', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Dolphins
72.8%
Draw
4%
Newcastle Knights
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 3.6% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 3.8% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dolphins's performance.
  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Knights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dolphins that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dolphins - Newcastle Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.46)
    22
    (26)
    3.98
    (2.81)
    8.4%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 46.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • Dolphins is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Newcastle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Dolphins is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 60:88. (average 15:22).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dolphins won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:48. (average 21:24).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dolphins - Newcastle Knights were as follows:
    13.03.2025 Newcastle Knights - Dolphins 26:12
    08.09.2024 Newcastle Knights - Dolphins 14:6
    28.04.2024 Dolphins - Newcastle Knights 14:18
    05.08.2023 Dolphins - Newcastle Knights 28:30
    Latest results of Dolphins
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2