Result
2:3
01/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Luca P. ⚽, Abouzziane S. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Ferraro N. ⚽, Perazzini D. (A),
- 35', Luca P. 🟥,
- 35', 1 - 2, Abouzziane S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 71', 2 - 2, Bonetti M. ⚽, Guglielmi F. (A),
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Abouzziane S. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Domagnano 50.5% | Draw 26.5% | Fiorentino 23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Domagnano's form might have worsened.Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Domagnano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Domagnano - Fiorentino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↑ (1.46) |
3.43 ↓ (4.1) |
3.93 ↓ (5.72) |
10.2% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 0.
- Domagnano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fiorentino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Domagnano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Domagnano is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Domagnano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Domagnano won against Fiorentino?
Domagnano has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentino won against Domagnano?
Fiorentino has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Domagnano - Fiorentino were as follows:
27.09.2025
Fiorentino
-
Domagnano
0:0
13.04.2025
Domagnano
-
Fiorentino
0:3
14.12.2024
Fiorentino
-
Domagnano
2:0
17.03.2024
Fiorentino
-
Domagnano
2:0
09.12.2023
Domagnano
-
Fiorentino
2:2
Latest results of Domagnano
Latest results of Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 50:11 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Tre Fiori | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 48:9 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 50:13 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | Folgore | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 51:24 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 49:21 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 47:22 | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Cosmos | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 25:16 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Fiorentino | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Libertas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:47 | -20 | 25 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 21 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 13 | Faetano | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17:48 | -31 | 11 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15:48 | -33 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 23 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15:59 | -44 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)