Result
2:3
01/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Luca P. ⚽, Abouzziane S. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Ferraro N. ⚽, Perazzini D. (A),
- 35', Luca P. 🟥,
- 35', 1 - 2, Abouzziane S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 71', 2 - 2, Bonetti M. ⚽, Guglielmi F. (A),
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Abouzziane S. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Domagnano 50.5% | Draw 26.5% | Fiorentino 23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Domagnano's form might have worsened.Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Domagnano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Domagnano - Fiorentino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↑ (1.46) |
3.43 ↓ (4.1) |
3.93 ↓ (5.72) |
10.2% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 0.
- Domagnano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fiorentino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Domagnano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Domagnano is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Domagnano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Domagnano won against Fiorentino?
Domagnano has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentino won against Domagnano?
Fiorentino has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Domagnano - Fiorentino were as follows:
27.09.2025
Fiorentino
-
Domagnano
0:0
13.04.2025
Domagnano
-
Fiorentino
0:3
14.12.2024
Fiorentino
-
Domagnano
2:0
17.03.2024
Fiorentino
-
Domagnano
2:0
09.12.2023
Domagnano
-
Fiorentino
2:2
Latest results of Domagnano
Latest results of Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 63 |
| 2 | Virtus | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 56:17 | 39 | 62 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 57:15 | 42 | 60 |
| 4 | Folgore | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 47 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 42 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27:19 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Libertas | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 13 | Faetano | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20:50 | -30 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19:56 | -37 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 26 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16:67 | -51 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)