Domagnano vs Fiorentino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
01/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 19

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Luca P. , Abouzziane S. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Ferraro N. , Perazzini D. (A),
  • 35', Luca P. 🟥,
  • 35', 1 - 2, Abouzziane S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 71', 2 - 2, Bonetti M. , Guglielmi F. (A),
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Abouzziane S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Domagnano
50.5%
Draw
26.5%
Fiorentino
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 22.1% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9% 23.4% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Domagnano's form might have worsened.
  • Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Domagnano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Domagnano - Fiorentino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.46)
    3.43
    (4.1)
    3.93
    (5.72)
    10.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 0.
    • Domagnano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Fiorentino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Domagnano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Domagnano is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Domagnano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Domagnano - Fiorentino were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Fiorentino - Domagnano 0:0
    13.04.2025 Domagnano - Fiorentino 0:3
    14.12.2024 Fiorentino - Domagnano 2:0
    17.03.2024 Fiorentino - Domagnano 2:0
    09.12.2023 Domagnano - Fiorentino 2:2
    Latest results of Domagnano
    25.01.2026 Domagnano - Cosmos 0:3
    20.01.2026 AC Libertas - Domagnano 2:1
    17.01.2026 Domagnano - Pennarossa 1:1
    20.12.2025 Domagnano - San Giovanni 1:1
    14.12.2025 La Fiorita - Domagnano 1:1
    Latest results of Fiorentino
    24.01.2026 Fiorentino - San Giovanni 0:1
    20.01.2026 Pennarossa - Fiorentino 2:4
    17.01.2026 Fiorentino - Tre Penne 0:6
    20.12.2025 Fiorentino - Murata 3:0
    13.12.2025 Faetano - Fiorentino 0:3
    San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Virtus23175150:113956
    2Tre Fiori23175148:93956
    3Tre Penne23165250:133753
    4Folgore23144551:242746
    5La Fiorita23138249:212842
    6Domagnano23116647:222539
    7Cosmos2398625:16935
    8Fiorentino231031023:35-1233
    9Juvenes/Dogana2377928:31-328
    10Libertas23671027:47-2025
    11San Giovanni23491017:31-1421
    12Pennarossa23561223:45-2221
    13Faetano23541418:43-2519
    14San Marino Academy U2223251617:48-3111
    15Cailungo23241715:48-3310
    16Murata23141815:59-44-2

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)