Barnsley vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Oakwell (Barnsley).

League One - Round 39
Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.71	1.15
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
3	2
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	2
Passes
78% (348/444)	72% (261/364)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.71	1.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.70	0.91
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
10	5
Shots outside the box
7	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
21	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free kicks
8	8
Passes
78% (348/444)	72% (261/364)
Long passes
43% (32/74)	28% (24/85)
Passes in final third
66% (86/130)	50% (65/129)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	0.73
Throw ins
17	24
Fouls
8	8
Tackles
63% (10/16)	50% (10/20)
Duels won
62	51
Clearances
22	27
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.91	0.70
Goals prevented
-0.09	0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Banks S. ↓, Bland J. ↑,
54', Gotts R. 🟨,
60', Middleton G. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
64', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Lee E. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Phillips A. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
71', Cleary R. ↓, Lennon C. ↑,
74', Lo-Tutala T. 🟨,
74', Watson T. 🟨,
79', Lee E. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
81', Watson T. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
90', Gibson J. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnsley
37.3%

Draw
26.5%

Doncaster Rovers
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

25.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.2)	3.55 ↓ (3.56)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)	6.7% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Doncaster will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 4% – 71%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Barnsley has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T. (Inactive) Earl J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Doncaster: Grehan S. (Inactive) Nixon T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Okoronkwo F. (Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Doncaster Rovers?

Barnsley has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Barnsley?

Doncaster Rovers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:

08.11.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Barnsley 1:2

29.10.2024 Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers 1:3

11.10.2022 Doncaster Rovers - Barnsley 2:4

Latest results of Barnsley

17.03.2026 Barnsley - Wigan Athletic 1:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Mansfield Town - Barnsley 2:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Barnsley - Cardiff City 1:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Barnsley - Exeter City 2:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Doncaster Rovers

17.03.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers 0:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Blackpool 2:1 ✺

10.03.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town 1:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Doncaster Rovers 2:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two