Barnsley vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 39
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.711.15
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
32
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
42
Passes
78% (348/444)72% (261/364)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.711.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.700.91
Total shots
179
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
86
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
105
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2120
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free kicks
88
Passes
78% (348/444)72% (261/364)
Long passes
43% (32/74)28% (24/85)
Passes in final third
66% (86/130)50% (65/129)
Crosses
24% (5/21)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.73
Throw ins
1724
Fouls
88
Tackles
63% (10/16)50% (10/20)
Duels won
6251
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.910.70
Goals prevented
-0.090.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Banks S. , Bland J. ,
  • 54', Gotts R. 🟨,
  • 60', Middleton G. , Adelakun H. ,
  • 64', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Lee E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 71', Phillips A. , Yoganathan V. ,
  • 71', Cleary R. , Lennon C. ,
  • 74', Lo-Tutala T. 🟨,
  • 74', Watson T. 🟨,
  • 79', Lee E. , Clifton H. ,
  • 81', Watson T. , Ogbeta N. ,
  • 90', Gibson J. , Broadbent G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnsley
37.3%
Draw
26.5%
Doncaster Rovers
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 25.7% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 24.7% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.2)
    3.55
    (3.56)
    2.6
    (2.8)
    6.7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Doncaster will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Barnsley has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T. (Inactive) Earl J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Grehan S. (Inactive) Nixon T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Okoronkwo F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Barnsley 1:2
    29.10.2024 Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers 1:3
    11.10.2022 Doncaster Rovers - Barnsley 2:4
    Latest results of Barnsley
    17.03.2026 Barnsley - Wigan Athletic 1:1
    14.03.2026 Mansfield Town - Barnsley 2:2
    10.03.2026 Barnsley - Cardiff City 1:1
    07.03.2026 Barnsley - Exeter City 2:1
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship