Result
1:1
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 25
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (224/344) | 67% (191/287) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (224/344) | 67% (191/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/74) | 36% (27/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (78/150) | 62% (60/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Palmer K. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
- 41', Clark J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 1, Hanlan B. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
- 66', Sterry J. ↓, Close B. ↑,
- 66', Lee E. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
- 66', van den Berg D. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
- 68', Palmer K. 🟨,
- 72', Walsh L. 🟨,
- 73', Palmer K. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
- 73', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 73', Wells N. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
- 90+4', Gotts R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Doncaster Rovers
36.2% | Draw
27.6% | Luton Town
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↓
(2.8) |
3.38 ↑
(3.08) |
2.59 ↑
(2.42) |
6.6%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
- Doncaster has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Luton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Inactive)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Jones I.
(Injury)
Richards J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Close B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Makosso C.
(Inactive)
Naismith K.
(Inactive)
Nordas L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Luton Town?
Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Doncaster Rovers?
Luton Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town were as follows:
27.09.2025
Luton Town
-
Doncaster Rovers
1:0
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
