Result
1:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 24
- Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (169/269) | 75% (297/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (169/269) | 75% (297/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (26/77) | 34% (28/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (74/136) | 56% (73/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 42% (11/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Broadbent G. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
- 36', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Simons X. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Middleton G. ⚽,
- 55', Simons X. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
- 55', Burstow M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
- 55', Gale T. ↓, Cozier-Duberry A. ↑,
- 65', Forss M. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
- 70', Dempsey K. 🟨,
- 75', Bailey O. 🟨,
- 77', Erhahon E. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Dempsey K. ⚽, Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
- 81', Clifton H. 🟨,
- 85', Middleton G. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
- 85', Hanlan B. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Doncaster Rovers
24.3% | Draw
25.4% | Bolton Wanderers
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.83 ↑
(3.38) |
3.68 ↑
(3.25) |
1.86 ↓
(2.06) |
7.2%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1.
- Doncaster has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bolton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
McAtee J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Bolton will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Bolton Wanderers?
Doncaster Rovers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Doncaster Rovers?
Bolton Wanderers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
