Result
0:0
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (416/487) | 65% (184/284) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (416/487) | 65% (184/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 28% (18/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (126/163) | 60% (65/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (11/40) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Gotts R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Pearson M. 🟨,
- 58', Dempsey K. 🟨,
- 63', Burstow M. ↓, Apter R. ↑,
- 63', Christie C. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
- 72', Clifton H. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
- 72', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 84', Adelakun H. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
- 84', Middleton G. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
- 85', Sheehan J. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 88', Molyneux L. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
- 90+6', Sterry J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Toal E. 🟨,
- 90+8', Byrne N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
58.6% | Draw
22.5% | Doncaster Rovers
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+2%)
Bolton Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.68) |
4.17 ↑
(3.8) |
4.94 ↑
(4.25) |
6.6%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Bolton (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3.
- Bolton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Doncaster's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Doncaster has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bolton is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Doncaster: Grehan S.
(Inactive)
Nixon T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bolton: McAtee J.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Okoronkwo F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Doncaster Rovers?
Bolton Wanderers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Bolton Wanderers?
Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
01.01.2026
Doncaster Rovers
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
