Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 46
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (455/535) | 72% (206/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (455/535) | 72% (206/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 33% (23/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (75/107) | 54% (58/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Street R. ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, Street R. ⚽, Sterry J. (A),
- 44', Street R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', McDonald R. ↓, Macari L. ↑,
- 61', Gordon K. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 73', Maxwell J. ↓, Sbarra J. ↑,
- 73', Gibson J. ↓, Nixon T. ↑,
- 73', Grant C. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
- 73', Whitaker C. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
- 82', Crew C. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
- 82', Street R. ↓, Westbrooke Z. ↑,
- 85', Abbott G. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
- 85', Molyneux L. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Notts County
35.5% | Draw
25.8% | Doncaster Rovers
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Notts County - Doncaster Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.4) |
3.64 ↑
(3.43) |
2.46 ↓
(2.79) |
5.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Notts County - Doncaster Rovers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Doncaster will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Notts County is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- Doncaster is Qualified for League One
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
- Notts County is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Doncaster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Notts County: Ness L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Doncaster: Olowu J.
(Inactive)
Senior J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Abbott G.
(Injury)
Austin S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Ironside J.
(Injury)
Wood R.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Doncaster Rovers?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Notts County?
Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
09.11.2024
Doncaster Rovers
-
Notts County
1:1
26.12.2023
Notts County
-
Doncaster Rovers
3:0
19.08.2023
Doncaster Rovers
-
Notts County
1:3
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
