Notts County vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Notts County - Doncaster Rovers
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 46
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.542.50
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
85% (455/535)72% (206/288)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.542.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.121.78
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
85% (455/535)72% (206/288)
Long passes
40% (18/45)33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
70% (75/107)54% (58/108)
Crosses
18% (6/33)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.151.27
Throw-ins
1812
Fouls
1213
Tackles
73% (8/11)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
823
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.780.12
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Street R. ,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Street R. , Sterry J. (A),
  • 44', Street R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', McDonald R. , Macari L. ,
  • 61', Gordon K. , Jarvis W. ,
  • 73', Maxwell J. , Sbarra J. ,
  • 73', Gibson J. , Nixon T. ,
  • 73', Grant C. , Edwards C. ,
  • 73', Whitaker C. , Austin S. ,
  • 82', Crew C. , Sharp B. ,
  • 82', Street R. , Westbrooke Z. ,
  • 85', Abbott G. , Hinchy J. ,
  • 85', Molyneux L. , Ennis E. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Jatta A. ,

Chances of winning


Notts County
35.5%
Draw
25.8%
Doncaster Rovers
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 27.3% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 28.2% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Notts County - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.4)
    3.64
    (3.43)
    2.46
    (2.79)
    5.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Notts County - Doncaster Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Doncaster will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Notts County is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • Doncaster is Qualified for League One
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
    • Notts County is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Doncaster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Olowu J. (Inactive) Senior J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Abbott G. (Injury) Austin S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Ironside J. (Injury) Wood R. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Doncaster Rovers - Notts County 1:1
    26.12.2023 Notts County - Doncaster Rovers 3:0
    19.08.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Notts County 1:3
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League