Notts County vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Meadow Lane (Nottingham).

League Two - Round 46
Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.54	2.50
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
85% (455/535)	72% (206/288)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54	2.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.12	1.78
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
20	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
85% (455/535)	72% (206/288)
Long passes
40% (18/45)	33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
70% (75/107)	54% (58/108)
Crosses
18% (6/33)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.15	1.27
Throw-ins
18	12
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
73% (8/11)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
47	43
Clearances
8	23
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.78	0.12
Goals prevented
-0.22	-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Street R. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Street R. ⚽, Sterry J. (A),
44', Street R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', McDonald R. ↓, Macari L. ↑,
61', Gordon K. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
73', Maxwell J. ↓, Sbarra J. ↑,
73', Gibson J. ↓, Nixon T. ↑,
73', Grant C. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
73', Whitaker C. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
82', Crew C. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
82', Street R. ↓, Westbrooke Z. ↑,
85', Abbott G. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
85', Molyneux L. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Notts County
35.5%

Draw
25.8%

Doncaster Rovers
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Notts County - Doncaster Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.4)	3.64 ↑ (3.43)	2.46 ↓ (2.79)	5.7% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Notts County - Doncaster Rovers?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Doncaster will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 4% – 71%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Notts County is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Doncaster is Qualified for League One
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
Notts County is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Doncaster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Doncaster: Olowu J. (Inactive) Senior J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Abbott G. (Injury) Austin S. (Injury)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Ironside J. (Injury) Wood R. (Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Doncaster Rovers?

Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Notts County?

Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:

09.11.2024 Doncaster Rovers - Notts County 1:1

26.12.2023 Notts County - Doncaster Rovers 3:0

19.08.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Notts County 1:3

Latest results of Notts County

26.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Notts County 1:3 ✺

21.04.2025 Notts County - Cheltenham Town 1:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Bradford City - Notts County 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Notts County - Salford City 1:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Colchester United - Notts County 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Doncaster Rovers

26.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Bradford City 2:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Colchester United 3:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Doncaster Rovers 0:3 ✺

15.04.2025 Salford City - Doncaster Rovers 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League