Stevenage Borough vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Lamex Stadium (Stevenage).

League One - Round 17
Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	0.86
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
4	9
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
61% (177/288)	67% (245/368)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	0.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	0.51
Total shots
4	9
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
1	3
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
2	4
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
9	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
8	3
Free Kicks
16	10
Passes
61% (177/288)	67% (245/368)
Long passes
38% (30/79)	31% (22/72)
Passes in final third
50% (56/111)	50% (60/119)
Crosses
35% (6/17)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.23	0.82
Throw-ins
26	32
Fouls
10	16
Tackles
59% (13/22)	71% (5/7)
Duels won
74	48
Clearances
28	28
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.51	0.07
Goals prevented
0.51	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Houghton J. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
44', Piergianni C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Campbell C. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
75', Gibson J. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
75', Clifton H. ↓, Middleton G. ↑,
76', Roberts J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
76', Lubala B. ↓, Young J. ↑,
87', Middleton G. 🟨,
90+1', Molyneux L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stevenage Borough
46.5%

Draw
28.6%

Doncaster Rovers
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Stevenage Borough - Doncaster Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.94)	3.28 ↓ (3.34)	3.79 ↓ (3.91)	6.7% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Doncaster Rovers?

Users Predictions: Stevenage Borough will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3.
Stevenage has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Doncaster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Stevenage may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Stevenage could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive) Thompson L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Doncaster: Olusanya T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Reid J. (Injury) Young J. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Doncaster Rovers?

Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Stevenage Borough?

Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:

18.04.2023 Stevenage Borough - Doncaster Rovers 1:0

25.10.2022 Doncaster Rovers - Stevenage Borough 0:1

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

06.11.2025 Reading - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Stevenage Borough - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Stevenage Borough - Bradford City 1:1 ✺

21.10.2025 Stevenage Borough - Crystal Palace U21 5:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Doncaster Rovers

15.11.2025 Lincoln City - Doncaster Rovers 2:1 ✺

11.11.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Bradford City 3:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Barnsley 1:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Reading - Doncaster Rovers 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two