Doncaster Rovers vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 43
  • Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.840.98
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
61
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
24
Passes
71% (220/310)70% (298/424)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.840.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.05
Total shots
98
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
87
Shots outside the box
11
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2124
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
63
Free kicks
119
Passes
71% (220/310)70% (298/424)
Long passes
42% (35/83)38% (40/106)
Passes in final third
61% (78/128)44% (55/125)
Crosses
21% (4/19)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.04
Throw ins
2227
Fouls
911
Tackles
67% (8/12)92% (11/12)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
3728
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.051.69
Goals prevented
0.050.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Savage C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Savage C. , Ritchie M. ,
  • 46', Young K. , Keane W. ,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Bailey O. , Lee E. (A),
  • 65', Fraser L. , Rinomhota A. ,
  • 65', Nyambe R. , Roberts H. ,
  • 67', Kyerewaa D. 🟨,
  • 82', Lee E. , Hanlan B. ,
  • 82', Adelakun H. , Gibson J. ,
  • 82', Dorsett A. J. R. , Lane P. ,
  • 88', Molyneux L. , Broadbent G. ,
  • 90+3', Clifton H. , McGrath J. ,
  • 90+6', Hanlan B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Doncaster Rovers
49.3%
Draw
25.8%
Reading
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 27.4% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 26.8% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Doncaster Rovers's performance.
  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Doncaster Rovers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Doncaster Rovers - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.16)
    3.63
    (3.35)
    3.75
    (3.04)
    6.1%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Reading (3.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Doncaster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Doncaster could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Okoronkwo F. (Hamstring Injury) Sharp B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Thigh Injury) O'Mahony M. (Knee Injury) Ward B. (Leg Injury) Williams R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Grehan S. (Hamstring Injury) Nixon T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Marriott J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Reading were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Reading - Doncaster Rovers 1:1
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    Latest results of Reading
    06.04.2026 Reading - Lincoln City 1:2
    28.03.2026 Reading - Wigan Athletic 3:0
    17.03.2026 Burton Albion - Reading 1:2
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two