Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 43
- Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (220/310) | 70% (298/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (220/310) | 70% (298/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (35/83) | 38% (40/106) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (78/128) | 44% (55/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Savage C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Savage C. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 46', Young K. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 0, Bailey O. ⚽, Lee E. (A),
- 65', Fraser L. ↓, Rinomhota A. ↑,
- 65', Nyambe R. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
- 67', Kyerewaa D. 🟨,
- 82', Lee E. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
- 82', Adelakun H. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
- 82', Dorsett A. J. R. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
- 88', Molyneux L. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
- 90+3', Clifton H. ↓, McGrath J. ↑,
- 90+6', Hanlan B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Doncaster Rovers 49.3% | Draw 25.8% | Reading 24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Doncaster Rovers's performance.Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Doncaster Rovers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Doncaster Rovers - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (2.16) |
3.63 ↑ (3.35) |
3.75 ↑ (3.04) |
6.1% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Reading?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Reading (3.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Doncaster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Doncaster could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Doncaster: Okoronkwo F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sharp B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Thigh Injury)
O'Mahony M.
(Knee Injury)
Ward B.
(Leg Injury)
Williams R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Grehan S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nixon T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Marriott J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Reading?
Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Doncaster Rovers?
Reading has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Reading were as follows:
25.10.2025
Reading
-
Doncaster Rovers
1:1
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bolton | 43 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 64:45 | 19 | 73 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 41 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 55 |
| 13 | Wigan | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 49:56 | -7 | 55 |
| 14 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 36:65 | -29 | 37 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 40 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 35 |
| 24 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship