Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Alvarez D. 🟨,
- 37', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 40', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Venegas J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alvarez D. ↓, Saavedra J. ↑,
- 46', Cardona U. ↓, Ogara G. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽,
- 67', Galicia C. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
- 67', Escoto A. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
- 72', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 75', Rochester L. 🟨,
- 78', Tamay A. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 78', Aguilar M. ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
- 80', Hernandez J. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 85', Peralta J. 🟨,
- 89', Cortes J. ↓, Carrillo M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dorados
35.8% | Draw
27.5% | Tepatitlán de Morelos
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorados's form might have worsened.Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tepatitlán de Morelos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dorados - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.26) |
3.37 ↓
(3.41) |
2.54 ↓
(2.89) |
7.6%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorados won 1.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Tepatitlán could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Dorados won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:16 (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Dorados won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Dorados has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Dorados?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
27.09.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Dorados
1:1
11.01.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Dorados
2:0
09.09.2023
Dorados
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:2
01.03.2023
Dorados
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:1
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Irapuato | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Tapatio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cancun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Morelia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Leones Negros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Atletico La Paz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Venados | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
