Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
0:1
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 28
  • Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.761.23
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
43
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
63
Passes
84% (452/538)74% (223/300)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.761.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.13
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
95
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
4015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free kicks
137
Passes
84% (452/538)74% (223/300)
Long passes
55% (44/80)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
76% (136/179)65% (51/78)
Crosses
23% (7/31)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.47
Throw ins
1824
Fouls
713
Tackles
48% (10/21)50% (9/18)
Duels won
4642
Clearances
1043
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
2.130.44
Goals prevented
1.130.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Abdalla M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Codutti L. ↓, Mica Pinto ↑,
  • 46', Valk S. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
  • 55', Abdalla M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
  • 55', Nash P. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
  • 57', Sunderland L. 🟨,
  • 64', de Bie J. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
  • 65', van Asten R. 🟨,
  • 67', Konadu D. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
  • 74', Sunderland L. ↓, van Vianen D. ↑,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Vink S. ⚽, Jetten L. (A),
  • 83', Darelas A. ↓, Bischof N. ↑,
  • 90', M'Bemba Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dordrecht
64.9%		Draw
19.7%		Jong Ajax
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 21.4% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 20.4% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dordrecht's performance.
  • Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
    •

    Dordrecht - Jong Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.43 ↓
    (1.54)    		 4.8 ↑
    (4.28)    		 6.12 ↑
    (4.82)    		 7.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Jong Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 35.2% – 92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.
    • Dordrecht is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Jong Ajax has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Dordrecht is the team to beat.
    • There are questionable in Dordrecht: Hardley B. (Injury) Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Dordrecht will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:44. (average 1.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 2.6:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Jong Ajax were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 0:0
    04.04.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 3:0
    30.09.2024 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 0:1
    29.01.2024 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 2:2
    20.10.2023 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 4:0
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    13.02.2026 Dordrecht - Emmen 1:0 ✺
    09.02.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺
    03.02.2026 Dordrecht - Helmond Sport 3:0 ✺
    30.01.2026 Vitesse - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 Dordrecht - Den Bosch 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    16.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 1:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺
    02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1 ✺
    19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2 ✺
    12.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 1:2 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
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