Result
0:1
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 28
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (452/538) | 74% (223/300) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (452/538) | 74% (223/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (44/80) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (136/179) | 65% (51/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Abdalla M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Codutti L. ↓, Mica Pinto ↑,
- 46', Valk S. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
- 55', Abdalla M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
- 55', Nash P. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
- 57', Sunderland L. 🟨,
- 64', de Bie J. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
- 65', van Asten R. 🟨,
- 67', Konadu D. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
- 74', Sunderland L. ↓, van Vianen D. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Vink S. ⚽, Jetten L. (A),
- 83', Darelas A. ↓, Bischof N. ↑,
- 90', M'Bemba Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dordrecht
64.9% | Draw
19.7% | Jong Ajax
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dordrecht's performance.Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Dordrecht - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.54) |
4.8 ↑
(4.28) |
6.12 ↑
(4.82) |
7.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.
- Dordrecht is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Jong Ajax has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Dordrecht is the team to beat.
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Hardley B.
(Injury)
Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Dordrecht will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:44. (average 1.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 2.6:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Jong Ajax?
Dordrecht has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Dordrecht?
Jong Ajax has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Jong Ajax were as follows:
07.11.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Dordrecht
0:0
04.04.2025
Dordrecht
-
Jong Ajax
3:0
30.09.2024
Jong Ajax
-
Dordrecht
0:1
29.01.2024
Jong Ajax
-
Dordrecht
2:2
20.10.2023
Dordrecht
-
Jong Ajax
4:0
Latest results of Dordrecht
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
