Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht).

Eerste Divisie - Round 28
Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.76	1.23
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
6	3
Passes
84% (452/538)	74% (223/300)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.76	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.44	2.13
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
7	6
Shots outside the box
9	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
40	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	4
Free kicks
13	7
Passes
84% (452/538)	74% (223/300)
Long passes
55% (44/80)	40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
76% (136/179)	65% (51/78)
Crosses
23% (7/31)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.47
Throw ins
18	24
Fouls
7	13
Tackles
48% (10/21)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
46	42
Clearances
10	43
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
2.13	0.44
Goals prevented
1.13	0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Abdalla M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Codutti L. ↓, Mica Pinto ↑,
46', Valk S. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
55', Abdalla M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
55', Nash P. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
57', Sunderland L. 🟨,
64', de Bie J. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
65', van Asten R. 🟨,
67', Konadu D. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
74', Sunderland L. ↓, van Vianen D. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Vink S. ⚽, Jetten L. (A),
83', Darelas A. ↓, Bischof N. ↑,
90', M'Bemba Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Dordrecht
64.9%

Draw
19.7%

Jong Ajax
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

21.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

20.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dordrecht's performance.

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Dordrecht - Jong Ajax Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)	4.8 ↑ (4.28)	6.12 ↑ (4.82)	7.1% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Jong Ajax?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 35.2% – 92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.
Dordrecht is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Jong Ajax has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Dordrecht is the team to beat.
There are questionable in Dordrecht: Hardley B. (Injury) Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)
We predict that Dordrecht will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:44. (average 1.7:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 2.6:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Jong Ajax?

Dordrecht has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Dordrecht?

Jong Ajax has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Jong Ajax were as follows:

07.11.2025 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 0:0

04.04.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 3:0

30.09.2024 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 0:1

29.01.2024 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 2:2

20.10.2023 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 4:0

Latest results of Dordrecht

13.02.2026 Dordrecht - Emmen 1:0 ✺

09.02.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺

03.02.2026 Dordrecht - Helmond Sport 3:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Vitesse - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺

23.01.2026 Dordrecht - Den Bosch 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Jong Ajax

16.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺

02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1 ✺

19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2 ✺

12.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 1:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	32	24	2	6	72:31	41	74
2	Cambuur	31	21	7	3	63:33	30	70
3	De Graafschap	31	15	7	9	58:49	9	52
4	Willem II	31	14	8	9	45:38	7	50
5	Jong PSV	32	15	5	12	62:56	6	50
6	Almere City	32	15	4	13	66:53	13	49
7	Waalwijk	32	13	9	10	54:47	7	48
8	Roda	32	12	11	9	50:47	3	47
9	Dordrecht	32	11	10	11	43:43	0	43
10	Den Bosch	32	12	7	13	55:57	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	31	12	4	15	45:55	-10	40
12	Venlo	32	11	4	17	39:49	-10	37
13	FC Emmen	30	10	6	14	46:54	-8	36
14	Jong Utrecht	32	9	9	14	48:54	-6	36
15	Maastricht	32	9	9	14	39:61	-22	36
16	Vitesse	32	12	9	11	49:49	0	33
17	Helmond	32	9	6	17	37:56	-19	33
18	Jong Ajax	32	8	8	16	45:57	-12	32
19	Jong AZ	32	9	4	19	53:63	-10	31
20	Oss	32	6	11	15	39:56	-17	29

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie