Result
1:2
28/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 18
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (335/428) | 78% (320/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (335/428) | 78% (320/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 37% (24/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (65/113) | 61% (62/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Ohio N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 0 - 1, Ohio N. ⚽, Agougil O. (A),
- 56', Pynadath J. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
- 56', Vetkal M. ↓, Sunderland L. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 2, Demircan E. ⚽, El Arguioui R. (A),
- 64', 1 - 2, van Aken J. ⚽, Venema N. (A),
- 65', Bae S. 🟨,
- 66', Jensen M. ↓, Arcos G. ↑,
- 66', Demircan E. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
- 75', Iqbal Z. 🟨,
- 81', Iqbal Z. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
- 82', van der Wegen S. ↓, Ghaddari M. ↑,
- 87', Drakpe A. 🟨,
- 90', Mukeh J. ↓, van den Boogaard B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dordrecht
49.8% | Draw
23.7% | Jong Utrecht
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jong Utrecht's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong Utrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.59) |
3.97 ↓
(4.1) |
3.62 ↓
(4.8) |
5.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Dordrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Dordrecht is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
Valk S.
(Knee Injury)
Van de Giessen L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: El Karouani S.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Jong Utrecht?
Dordrecht has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against Dordrecht?
Jong Utrecht has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht were as follows:
02.05.2025
Jong Utrecht
-
Dordrecht
1:0
25.10.2024
Dordrecht
-
Jong Utrecht
3:1
10.05.2024
Jong Utrecht
-
Dordrecht
1:1
15.09.2023
Dordrecht
-
Jong Utrecht
3:3
16.01.2023
Jong Utrecht
-
Dordrecht
0:1
Latest results of Dordrecht
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
