Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 31
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (256/323) | 73% (264/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (256/323) | 73% (264/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (22/50) | 30% (15/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (64/89) | 58% (71/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/23) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 26 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', M'Bemba Y. 🟨,
- 4', 1 - 0, Niemeijer R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 36', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Carrillo S. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
- 58', Eggens N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
- 58', El Allachi C. ↓, Kaninda N. ↑,
- 64', Bischof N. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 68', Meerstadt J. ↓, Bultman S. ↑,
- 69', El Kadiri I. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, M'Bemba Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Woudenberg L. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
- 76', Bae S. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Kaninda N. ⚽, Schoppema L. (A),
- 88', Yoon D. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
- 90+1', Niemeijer R. ↓, Hardeman J. ↑,
Chances of winning
De Graafschap
53.6% | Draw
22.5% | Dordrecht
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
De Graafschap - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.93) |
4.16 ↑
(3.95) |
3.88 ↑
(3.22) |
6.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Dordrecht?
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): De Graafschap will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
- De Graafschap is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dordrecht has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- De Graafschap will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Dordrecht?
De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against De Graafschap?
Dordrecht has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Dordrecht were as follows:
26.09.2025
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
1:1
17.05.2025
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
2:0
13.05.2025
De Graafschap
-
Dordrecht
0:0
31.01.2025
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
1:1
01.11.2024
De Graafschap
-
Dordrecht
4:1
Latest results of De Graafschap
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
