Result
1:2
25/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 17
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (427/508) | 76% (252/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (427/508) | 76% (252/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (94/130) | 55% (35/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Breij M. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Sunderland L. ⚽, Eduardo Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sunderland L. ↓, Bae S. ↑,
- 47', Bae S. 🟨,
- 62', van Asten R. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
- 65', Seedorf C. ↓, Leijten R. ↑,
- 65', Takidine I. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
- 66', Pynadath J. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
- 71', Afaker M. 🟨,
- 77', Kruiver J. ↓, Timmermans J. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Venema N. ⚽, Afaker M. (A),
- 81', Venema N. ↓, Vugts S. ↑,
- 88', Deom J. ↓, Janssen F. ↑,
- 88', Griffith I. ↓, Lajud Martinez D. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Janssen F. ⚽,
- 90+3', Eduardo Y. 🟨,
- 90+3', Tol M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Biai C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Roda
52.5% | Draw
23.8% | Dordrecht
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roda's performance.Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dordrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dordrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Roda - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.11) |
3.94 ↑
(3.79) |
3.94 ↑
(3) |
6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Roda - Dordrecht?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 57.7% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Roda (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Roda (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Roda (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Roda (votes: 12 - 75%). Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Dordrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Roda has had a series of away games.
- Roda could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Paulissen M.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
Van den Buijs D.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
Valk S.
(Knee Injury)
Van de Giessen L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Roda won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:14. (average 2.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:4. (average 2.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Dordrecht?
Roda has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Roda?
Dordrecht has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - Dordrecht were as follows:
14.02.2025
Dordrecht
-
Roda
2:1
13.12.2024
Roda
-
Dordrecht
0:1
09.02.2024
Roda
-
Dordrecht
4:1
01.12.2023
Dordrecht
-
Roda
2:0
27.01.2023
Roda
-
Dordrecht
1:0
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
