Neza vs Dragones Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Liga Premier Serie A - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 3)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 3, ⚽,
77', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Chances of winning

Neza
38.1%

Draw
24.1%

Dragones Toluca
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

24.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

22.6%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Neza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Dragones Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dragones Toluca than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Neza - Dragones Toluca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	2.39 ↑ (2.38)	10.8% (12.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 13).
A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.
Neza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Neza won against Dragones Toluca?

Neza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dragones Toluca won against Neza?

Dragones Toluca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Neza - Dragones Toluca were as follows:

08.11.2025 Dragones Toluca - Neza 0:2

Latest results of Neza

08.03.2026 Neza - Pioneros de Cancún 0:3 ✺

28.02.2026 Jaguares de Chiapas - Neza 6:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Neza - Montañeses 0:5 ✺

14.02.2026 Inter Playa Del Carmen - Neza 4:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Celaya - Neza 6:0 ✺

Latest results of Dragones Toluca

07.03.2026 Dragones Toluca - Cañoneros Marina 0:3 ✺

28.02.2026 Pioneros de Cancún - Dragones Toluca 3:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Dragones Toluca - Jaguares de Chiapas 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Montañeses - Dragones Toluca 2:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Dragones Toluca - Inter Playa Del Carmen 0:0 ✺

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table

2025/26

Group 1

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango ✔	23	19	0	1	0	3	66:14	67
2	Cimarrones de Sonora	24	13	1	6	0	4	42:19	49
3	Tigres de Alica	24	14	1	3	0	6	41:23	49
4	Leones Negros 2	24	14	0	2	0	8	39:26	46
5	Tecos	24	13	0	4	0	7	45:31	45
6	Tritones Vallarta	23	11	2	1	0	9	29:26	40
7	Los Cabos	24	11	0	3	0	10	37:36	37
8	Mineros de Fresnillo	24	9	1	4	2	8	33:37	36
9	Guerreros de Autlan	23	7	0	5	2	9	36:38	29
10	Ensenada FC	24	8	0	2	0	14	29:50	28
11	UA Zacatecas	24	7	0	4	0	13	26:45	26
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	23	5	1	1	1	15	33:57	20
13	ACF Zapotlanejo	23	5	0	1	1	16	37:66	18
14	Colima FC	23	3	0	3	0	17	20:45	13

Group 2

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Apodaca ✔	24	18	2	2	0	2	46:18	63
2	Santiago	23	12	0	6	1	4	31:20	43
3	Halcones	24	10	0	6	1	7	40:26	41
4	Zacatepec	24	10	1	8	0	5	24:14	40
5	Matamoros	23	10	0	5	0	8	27:19	37
6	Lobos ULMX	24	10	0	6	0	8	31:24	37
7	Club Calor	22	9	0	7	1	5	29:23	35
8	Correcaminos 2	24	8	0	7	0	9	25:23	33
9	Chilpancingo	24	7	0	8	0	9	29:39	29
10	Cordobes FC	24	6	1	6	0	11	25:27	26
11	Canamy	23	5	0	8	1	9	32:40	26
12	Zitacuaro	23	4	1	9	0	9	20:29	24
13	Ciervos	24	3	1	4	2	14	19:43	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	24	3	1	4	1	15	22:55	16

Group 3

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz ✔	22	20	0	2	0	0	49:8	67
2	Deportiva Venados	22	12	1	4	1	4	53:24	46
3	Celaya	22	11	1	3	1	6	40:26	42
4	Inter Playa Del Carmen	23	10	2	4	1	6	31:28	39
5	Tapachula	22	11	0	0	1	10	45:34	38
6	Montaneses	22	9	2	2	0	9	30:26	35
7	Pioneros	22	9	1	1	1	10	33:33	33
8	Chiapas	22	9	0	2	3	8	32:31	32
9	Heroes de Zaci	20	8	0	2	1	9	26:37	27
10	Chapulineros	22	4	1	6	0	11	20:32	21
11	Canoneros	21	4	2	1	1	13	19:42	19
12	Neza FC	22	5	0	2	0	15	24:60	19
13	Dragones Toluca	22	4	0	3	0	15	21:42	17

Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )