Neza vs Dragones Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
22/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 24', 0 - 1, ,
  • 26', 0 - 2, ,
  • 34', 0 - 3, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 3, ,
  • 77', 1 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Neza
38.1%
Draw
24.1%
Dragones Toluca
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 24.6% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 22.6% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Neza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Dragones Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dragones Toluca than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Neza - Dragones Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.33)
    3.75
    (3.6)
    2.39
    (2.38)
    10.8%
    (12.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 13).
    • A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.
    • Neza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neza - Dragones Toluca were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Dragones Toluca - Neza 0:2
    Latest results of Neza
    08.03.2026 Neza - Pioneros de Cancún 0:3
    28.02.2026 Jaguares de Chiapas - Neza 6:1
    22.02.2026 Neza - Montañeses 0:5
    31.01.2026 Celaya - Neza 6:0
    Draw
    Reserves - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cimarrones de SonoraMineros de Fresnillo1 : 1
    2Leones Negros 2Celaya0 : 5

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2