Duisburg vs Ingolstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Duisburg - Ingolstadt
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 8
  • Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
142
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
142
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
92
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1722
Throw-ins
1318
Fouls
1716

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Bitter J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Borchers M. , Christensen F. ,
  • 57', Gockan M. , Sussek P. ,
  • 63', Besuschkow M. 🟨,
  • 64', Sturm Y. , Christensen G. ,
  • 70', Rosenlocher L. , Sekulovic D. ,
  • 70', Besuschkow M. , Plath M. ,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Sekulovic D. , Costly M. (A),
  • 72', Viet C. , Heike T. ,
  • 72', Kruger F. , Meuer S. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Sussek P. , Symalla J. (A),
  • 77', Scholz J. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Christensen F. (Own goal),
  • 87', Symalla J. , Tugbenyo J. ,
  • 87', Costly M. , Kugel J. ,
  • 90+5', Christensen F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Duisburg
41%
Draw
26.6%
Ingolstadt
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 24.4% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 23.3% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Duisburg - Ingolstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.19)
    2.99
    (3.75)
    2.42
    (2.69)
    26.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Duisburg - Ingolstadt?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Duisburg will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 0.
    • Duisburg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ingolstadt has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Duisburg has had a series of away games.
    • Duisburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Duisburg - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Ingolstadt - Duisburg 2:0
    11.11.2023 Duisburg - Ingolstadt 1:2
    12.05.2023 Ingolstadt - Duisburg 2:0
    12.11.2022 Duisburg - Ingolstadt 0:1
    Latest results of Duisburg
    21.09.2025 TSV Havelse - Duisburg 1:1
    16.09.2025 Schweinfurt - Duisburg 0:3
    13.09.2025 Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden 3:1
    04.09.2025 Bochum - Duisburg 1:0
    30.08.2025 Verl - Duisburg 2:3
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cottbus1282230:181226
    2Duisburg1173123:121124
    3Verl1264228:19922
    4VfL Osnabruck1264217:11622
    5Mannheim1261523:19419
    6Saarbrucken1254322:18419
    7RW Essen1154222:19319
    8Stuttgart II1253417:18-118
    9Hoffenheim II1152424:17717
    10Ingolstadt1245322:16617
    11Viktoria Koln1152416:11517
    12Wehen1244415:16-116
    13Munich 18601243518:21-315
    14Hansa Rostock1135311:12-114
    15Regensburg1242614:19-514
    16Alemannia Aachen1241719:22-313
    17Ulm1241718:25-713
    18Aue1132610:18-811
    19TSV Havelse1204815:29-144
    20Schweinfurt1210118:32-243

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation