Kilmarnock vs Dundee – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Scottish Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDundee TV, Kilmarnock TV

Match Stats

Yellow cards
54
Red cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Dhanda Y. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Thompson D. , Watson D. (A),
  • 12', McCracken J. 🟨,
  • 13', Jones C. 🟨,
  • 18', Koumetio B. , Robertson C. ,
  • 44', Thompson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Schjonning-Larsen M. , McKenzie R. ,
  • 54', Schilte-Brown E. 🟨,
  • 57', John-Jules T. 🟨,
  • 62', John-Jules T. , Tiffoney S. ,
  • 67', Astley R. , Samuels I. ,
  • 67', Jones C. , Reilly C. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Hay A. , Reilly C. (A),
  • 72', Tiffoney S. 🟨,
  • 80', Thompson J. 🟨,
  • 81', Robertson C. 🟨,
  • 84', Dackers M. , Anderson B. ,
  • 84', Congreve C. , Murray S. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Wright D. ,
  • 90+3', Mayo L. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Kilmarnock
42.1%
Draw
28.1%
Dundee
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 27% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 28.5% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kilmarnock's form might have worsened.
  • Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilmarnock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kilmarnock - Dundee Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.92)
    3.28
    (3.39)
    3.09
    (3.62)
    8.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 1.
    • Kilmarnock has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Dundee has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kilmarnock might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Dundee were as follows:
    30.12.2025 Dundee - Kilmarnock 2:1
    23.08.2025 Kilmarnock - Dundee 0:0
    10.05.2025 Kilmarnock - Dundee 3:2
    30.11.2024 Kilmarnock - Dundee 1:1
    03.11.2024 Dundee - Kilmarnock 3:2
    Latest results of Kilmarnock
    10.01.2026 Livingston - Kilmarnock 1:1
    03.01.2026 Kilmarnock - Hibernian 1:3
    30.12.2025 Dundee - Kilmarnock 2:1
    27.12.2025 St. Mirren - Kilmarnock 0:0
    20.12.2025 Kilmarnock - Falkirk 0:1
    Latest results of Dundee
    11.01.2026 Dundee - Hearts 0:1
    03.01.2026 Dundee United - Dundee 0:1
    30.12.2025 Dundee - Kilmarnock 2:1
    27.12.2025 Dundee - Falkirk 1:0
    20.12.2025 Motherwell - Dundee 1:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1RangersBye
    5ClydeBye
    6ByeAnnan
    7LossiemouthFormartine Utd1 : 2
    8HuntlyBuckie Thistle1 : 3
    9StranraerBye
    10GlenaftonInvergordon3 : 2
    11Jeanfield SwiftsClydebank FC0 : 4
    12Newtongrange StarEast Stirlingshire1 : 3
    13Bo'ness AthleticKeith2 : 1
    14Linlithgow RoseGala Fairydean2 : 1
    16ByeQueen's Park
    17DumbartonBye
    18ColdstreamTayport2 : 3
    19Auchinleck TalbotCumnock Juniors2 : 1
    20Carluke RoversGretna 20080 : 4
    24ByeCeltic
    25KilmarnockBye
    32ByeDundee FC
    33AirdrieoniansBye
    36ByeHamilton
    37East FifeBye
    40ByeArbroath
    41LivingstonBye
    48ByeSt. Mirren
    49Camelon JuniorsAlbion Rovers2 : 1
    50Johnstone BurghThreave Rovers4 : 0
    51Edinburgh CityBye
    52Stirling UniversityBurntisland Shipyard6 : 2
    53Elgin CityBye
    54DarvelDeveronvale1 : 3
    55Forres MechanicsCaledonian Braves0 : 2
    56ByeStirling
    57MusselburghBonnyton Thistle2 : 0
    58ByeForfar Athletic
    60ByePartick Thistle
    61Wick AcademyRothes5 : 0
    62CowdenbeathBenburb1 : 2
    64ByeMontrose
    65DunfermlineBye
    68ByeQueen of South
    72ByeHibernian
    73Kelty HeartsBye
    75Lochee UnitedBrechin1 : 3
    76Civil Service StrollersDundonald Bluebell2 : 3
    77St JohnstoneBye
    80ByeCove Rangers
    81AberdeenBye
    85RaithBye
    88ByeAlloa
    89MotherwellBye
    93Bo'ness UnitedBanks O' Dee0 : 3
    94Brora RangersFraserburgh0 : 1
    96ByeRoss County
    97StenhousemuirBye
    99ClachnacuddinKilwinning Rangers2 : 1
    100InverurieSauchie0 : 2
    101PeterheadBye
    104ByeMorton
    105HeartsBye
    112ByeFalkirk
    113AyrBye
    115BerwickNairn County0 : 2
    116Turriff UtdHill Of Beath2 : 1
    120ByeDundee Utd
    121Cumbernauld ColtsGlasgow University4 : 0
    122Bonnyrigg RoseBroxburn Athletic2 : 1
    123SpartansBye
    124ByeEast Kilbride
    125TranentPollok3 : 0
    126Strathspey ThistleDundee North End1 : 2
    128ByeInverness

    1/64-finals
    1RangersBye
    3ClydeAnnan2 : 3
    4Formartine UtdBuckie Thistle0 : 2
    5StranraerGlenafton4 : 0
    6Clydebank FCEast Stirlingshire3 : 1
    7Bo'ness AthleticLinlithgow Rose0 : 2
    8ByeQueen's Park
    9DumbartonTayport2 : 0
    10Auchinleck TalbotGretna 20083 : 1
    12ByeCeltic
    13KilmarnockBye
    16ByeDundee FC
    17AirdrieoniansBye
    18ByeHamilton
    19East FifeBye
    20ByeArbroath
    21LivingstonBye
    24ByeSt. Mirren
    25Camelon JuniorsJohnstone Burgh1 : 0
    26Edinburgh CityStirling University1 : 0
    27Elgin CityDeveronvale2 : 1
    28Caledonian BravesStirling3 : 4
    29MusselburghForfar Athletic1 : 2
    30ByePartick Thistle
    31Wick AcademyBenburb1 : 2
    32ByeMontrose
    33DunfermlineBye
    34ByeQueen of South
    36ByeHibernian
    37Kelty HeartsBye
    38BrechinDundonald Bluebell3 : 1
    39St JohnstoneBye
    40ByeCove Rangers
    41AberdeenBye
    43RaithBye
    44ByeAlloa
    45MotherwellBye
    47Banks O' DeeFraserburgh4 : 0
    48ByeRoss County
    49StenhousemuirBye
    50ClachnacuddinSauchie2 : 0
    51PeterheadBye
    52ByeMorton
    53HeartsBye
    56ByeFalkirk
    57AyrBye
    58Nairn CountyTurriff Utd1 : 2
    60ByeDundee Utd
    61Cumbernauld ColtsBonnyrigg Rose0 : 2
    62SpartansEast Kilbride2 : 1
    63TranentDundee North End3 : 0
    64ByeInverness

    1/32-finals
    1RangersBye
    2AnnanBuckie Thistle4 : 0
    3StranraerClydebank FC2 : 1
    4Linlithgow RoseQueen's Park1 : 3
    5DumbartonAuchinleck Talbot0 : 4
    6ByeCeltic
    7KilmarnockBye
    8ByeDundee FC
    9AirdrieoniansHamilton4 : 0
    10East FifeArbroath0 : 2
    11LivingstonBye
    12ByeSt. Mirren
    13Camelon JuniorsEdinburgh City2 : 1
    14Elgin CityStirling4 : 2
    15Forfar AthleticPartick Thistle0 : 2
    16BenburbMontrose0 : 3
    17DunfermlineQueen of South2 : 1
    18ByeHibernian
    19Kelty HeartsBrechin2 : 0
    20St JohnstoneCove Rangers1 : 2
    21AberdeenBye
    22RaithAlloa1 : 0
    23MotherwellBye
    24Banks O' DeeRoss County0 : 2
    25StenhousemuirClachnacuddin4 : 1
    26PeterheadMorton2 : 3
    27HeartsBye
    28ByeFalkirk
    29AyrTurriff Utd3 : 0
    30ByeDundee Utd
    31Bonnyrigg RoseSpartans1 : 2
    32TranentInverness1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1RangersAnnan5 : 0
    2StranraerQueen's Park2 : 1
    3Auchinleck TalbotCeltic0 : 2
    4KilmarnockDundee FC1 : 2
    5AirdrieoniansArbroath4 : 3
    6LivingstonSt. Mirren1 : 2
    7Camelon JuniorsElgin City1 : 3
    8Partick ThistleMontrose3 : 1
    9DunfermlineHibernian1 : 0
    10Kelty HeartsCove Rangers2 : 1
    11AberdeenRaith1 : 0
    12MotherwellRoss County1 : 0
    13StenhousemuirMorton4 : 0
    14HeartsFalkirk1 : 2
    15AyrDundee Utd0 : 2
    16SpartansInverness1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1RangersQueen's Park8 : 0
    2CelticDundee FC2 : 1
    3AirdrieoniansSt. Mirren1 : 2
    4Elgin CityPartick Thistle2 : 3
    5DunfermlineKelty Hearts2 : 0
    6AberdeenMotherwell2 : 0
    7StenhousemuirFalkirk0 : 2
    8Dundee UtdSpartans2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1RangersCeltic0 : 1
    2St. MirrenPartick Thistle2 : 1
    3DunfermlineAberdeen3 : 0
    4FalkirkDundee Utd2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CelticSt. Mirren
    2DunfermlineFalkirk