Result
2:1
30/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 20
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (383/464) | 74% (264/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (383/464) | 74% (264/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (88/131) | 59% (67/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Kiltie G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lowery T. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 48', Reilly C. 🟨,
- 53', Thompson J. 🟨,
- 53', Dhanda Y. 🟨,
- 54', Lyons B. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Hay A. ⚽, Reilly C. (A),
- 63', Thompson D. 🟨,
- 66', Kiltie G. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
- 69', Brannan B. 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 1, Reilly C. ⚽,
- 72', Anderson B. ↓, Deas R. ↑,
- 72', Watson D. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
- 73', Reilly C. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
- 78', Brown J. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 89', Yogane T. ↓, Samuels I. ↑,
- 90+5', Dhanda Y. ↓, Digby P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dundee
34.5% | Draw
30.8% | Kilmarnock
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Dundee - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.68) |
3.05 ↑
(3) |
2.7 ↑
(2.64) |
6.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dundee - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Dundee will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kilmarnock: 16.4% – 61.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dundee: Murray S.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
Stryjek M.
(Heart Problems)
- There are questionable in Dundee: Congreve C.
(Injury)
Robertson C.
(Injury)
Robertson F.
(Injury)
Westley J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Kilmarnock?
Dundee has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Dundee?
Kilmarnock has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee - Kilmarnock were as follows:
23.08.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee
0:0
10.05.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee
3:2
30.11.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee
1:1
03.11.2024
Dundee
-
Kilmarnock
3:2
05.10.2024
Dundee
-
Kilmarnock
2:3
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 38:17 | 21 | 41 |
| 2 | Celtic | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Rangers | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 33 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 31 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 28:29 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:23 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 24 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 19 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18:35 | -17 | 13 |
| 12 | Livingston | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
