Result
0:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 3
- Referee: Lee R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (385/473) | 77% (324/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (385/473) | 77% (324/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (27/71) | 33% (23/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (86/132) | 53% (49/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Murray S. 🟨,
- 25', Lyons B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Dhanda Y. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
- 63', Kiltie G. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 69', Jones C. 🟨,
- 72', Robertson C. 🟨,
- 72', Lyons B. ↓, Daniels D. ↑,
- 73', Robertson F. ↓, Garza C. ↑,
- 73', Graham L. ↓, Koumetio B. ↑,
- 77', Brandon J. ↓, Thompson D. ↑,
- 78', Murray S. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
- 78', Westley J. ↓, Congreve C. ↑,
- 85', Watson D. 🟨,
- 86', Brannan B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
49.9% | Draw
27.3% | Dundee
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Kilmarnock - Dundee Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.81) |
3.47 ↓
(3.65) |
4.09 ↓
(4.14) |
6%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Dundee?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kilmarnock will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kilmarnock will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Dundee may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kilmarnock is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Dundee: Reilly C.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Tiffoney S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Dundee: Hay A.
(Injury)
Murray S.
(Injury)
Westley J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Dundee?
Kilmarnock has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Kilmarnock?
Dundee has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Dundee were as follows:
10.05.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee
3:2
30.11.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee
1:1
03.11.2024
Dundee
-
Kilmarnock
3:2
05.10.2024
Dundee
-
Kilmarnock
2:3
18.05.2024
Dundee
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Celtic | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | St. Mirren | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Dundee FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Livingston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | Rangers | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:9 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
