Result
3:2
10/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 36
- Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.67 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (144/266) | 67% (262/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.67 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.30 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (144/266) | 67% (262/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (31/96) | 23% (20/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (56/117) | 50% (65/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 80 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 4.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Palmer-Houlden S. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Armstrong D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', Donnelly L. 🟨,
- 56', Larkeche Z. 🟨,
- 57', Tiffoney S. ↓, Adewumi O. ↑,
- 65', Wales B. ↓, Vassell K. ↑,
- 74', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Robertson F. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Cameron L. ⚽, Adewumi O. (A),
- 77', 2 - 1, Anderson B. ⚽, Donnelly L. (A),
- 81', Donnelly L. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 86', Watson D. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
- 86', Anderson B. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Deas R. ⚽, Armstrong D. (A),
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Cameron L. ⚽, Astley R. (A),
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
51.6% | Draw
26.1% | Dundee
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilmarnock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Kilmarnock - Dundee Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.71) |
3.63 ↓
(3.77) |
4.21 ↓
(4.75) |
5.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Dundee?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Dundee will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kilmarnock (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Kilmarnock is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Magennis K.
(Injury)
Wright J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dundee: McGhee J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Lyons B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Dundee?
Kilmarnock has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Kilmarnock?
Dundee has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Dundee were as follows:
30.11.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee
1:1
03.11.2024
Dundee
-
Kilmarnock
3:2
05.10.2024
Dundee
-
Kilmarnock
2:3
18.05.2024
Dundee
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
02.03.2024
Dundee
-
Kilmarnock
2:2
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dundee Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | St. Mirren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dundee FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Livingston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
