Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

Championship - Round 28

Match Stats


Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
3	7
Shots on target
0	4
Corner kicks
3	1
Yellow cards
3	1
Red cards
1	0
Total shots
3	7
Shots on target
0	4
Shots off target
3	3
Corner kicks
3	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Cooper J. ⚽, Todd M. (A),
30', Amade A. 🟨,
33', Tod A. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Abdulai N. ↓, Oakley-Boothe T. ↑,
46', Turley F. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
54', Dick L. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Kane Ch. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Hislop J. ↓, Finney G. ↑,
65', Amade A. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
70', King L. ↓, McRoberts L. ↑,
71', Want S. 🟨,
76', Rus M. 🟨,
78', Finney G. 🟥,
83', Cooper J. ↓, Bray K. ↑,
83', Todd M. ↓, Benedictus K. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Bray K. ⚽, Fraser R. (A),

Chances of winning

Ayr United
30.9%

Draw
29.8%

Dunfermline Athletic
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayr United's form might have worsened.

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunfermline Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunfermline Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.1)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	2.46 ↓ (3.4)	4.9% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ayr: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunfermline (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Dunfermline (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Dunfermline (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1 - Dunfermline (3.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Dunfermline (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Dunfermline (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunfermline (votes: 7 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Postponed due to domestic cup.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ayr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Dunfermline Athletic?

Ayr United has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dunfermline Athletic won against Ayr United?

Dunfermline Athletic has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic were as follows:

20.12.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 2:3

31.10.2025 Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic 0:1

23.09.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 0:1

29.03.2025 Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic 3:0

14.01.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 0:2

Latest results of Ayr United

04.04.2026 Ayr United - Partick Thistle 1:1 ✺

27.03.2026 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 3:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Queens Park - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

10.03.2026 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Dunfermline Athletic

04.04.2026 Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton 3:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Ross County - Dunfermline Athletic 2:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers 3:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Dunfermline Athletic - Aberdeen 3:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Dunfermline Athletic - Ross County 3:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	33	19	11	3	62:25	37	68
2	Partick Thistle	33	17	12	4	50:33	17	63
3	Arbroath	33	12	11	10	41:40	1	47
4	Dunfermline	32	13	7	12	48:37	11	46
5	Raith	32	10	9	13	37:36	1	39
6	Ayr	33	8	15	10	36:42	-6	39
7	Queen's Park	32	9	12	11	34:43	-9	39
8	Morton	33	8	12	13	35:47	-12	36
9	Airdrieonians	32	7	9	16	28:43	-15	30
10	Ross County	33	6	10	17	28:53	-25	28

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One