Dunkerque vs Le Mans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 6
  • Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.96
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
88% (517/590)73% (212/291)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.551.85
Total shots
148
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3213
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
88% (517/590)73% (212/291)
Long passes
49% (21/43)40% (28/70)
Passes in final third
76% (133/176)41% (30/74)
Crosses
30% (6/20)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.34
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
1211
Tackles
78% (7/9)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
2533
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.852.55
Goals prevented
-0.150.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Sekongo A. , Bardeli E. (A),
  • 22', Gomes M. 🟨,
  • 29', Gomes M. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Calodat L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cossier I. , Voyer H. ,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Bardeli E. , Essimi M. (A),
  • 62', Vercruysse J. , Robin M. ,
  • 63', Gueye D. , Colas E. ,
  • 64', Essimi M. , Yassine G. ,
  • 69', Sangante O. 🟥,
  • 70', Eguaras I. 🟨,
  • 71', Quarshie E. , Lauray A. ,
  • 72', Sekongo A. , Kondo G. ,
  • 73', Zossou A. , Diong P. ,
  • 76', Rabillard A. , Guillaume B. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Colas E. , Voyer H. (A),
  • 83', Ribelin A. 🟨,
  • 86', Robinet T. , Kante A. ,
  • 87', Eguaras I. , Daho A. ,

Chances of winning


Dunkerque
48.4%
Draw
27.3%
Le Mans
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 27.7% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 27.4% 28.8%

Dunkerque - Le Mans Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.97
(2.17)
3.48
(3.44)
3.83
(3.34)
5.8%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Le Mans?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Le Mans (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Dunkerque will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.85%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
    • In recent matches, Dunkerque has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Le Mans's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dunkerque will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Linguet A. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Abanda L. (Inactive) Luvambo T. (Inactive) Rabillard A. (Inactive) Ribelin A. (Inactive) Robin M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Le Mans: Voyer H. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Le Mans were as follows:
    26.05.2023 Le Mans - Dunkerque 2:3
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    13.09.2025 Grenoble - Dunkerque 1:0
    29.08.2025 Dunkerque - Troyes 2:0
    22.08.2025 Dunkerque - Nancy 1:3
    16.08.2025 Annecy - Dunkerque 2:2
    09.08.2025 Dunkerque - Clermont 2:2
    Latest results of Le Mans
    12.09.2025 Le Mans - Rodez 0:1
    30.08.2025 Reims - Le Mans 1:0
    22.08.2025 Le Mans - Bastia 1:0
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
    09.08.2025 Guingamp - Le Mans 3:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1695228:151332
    2St Etienne1692533:231029
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Le Mans1676320:16427
    5Pau FC1675422:23-126
    6Reims1574428:20825
    7Dunkerque1666427:18924
    8Montpellier1673617:15224
    9Guingamp1665524:28-423
    10Annecy1664620:16422
    11Grenoble1655618:20-220
    12Clermont1647516:20-419
    13Rodez1646616:22-618
    14Boulogne1644817:24-716
    15Laval1536612:16-415
    16Amiens1643919:25-615
    17Nancy1643914:22-815
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National