Result
1:0
26/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 20
- Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (238/324) | 85% (469/551) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (238/324) | 85% (469/551) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (22/61) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (38/68) | 70% (88/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Sekongo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Colas E. ⚽,
- 61', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
- 62', Rossignol M. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
- 62', Calodat L. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
- 64', Kondo G. 🟨,
- 71', Sekongo A. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
- 73', Lauray A. 🟨,
- 75', Colas E. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
- 80', Luvambo T. 🟨,
- 83', Buades L. 🟨,
- 85', Gueye D. ↓, Caro T. ↑,
- 85', Buades L. ↓, Ribelin A. ↑,
- 86', Doucet L. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 90+4', Hamdi M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mpw9j6kh
Chances of winning
Le Mans
36.2% | Draw
31% | Dunkerque
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Le Mans - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.39) |
2.99 ↓
(3.07) |
2.86 ↓
(3.06) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Dunkerque (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Dunkerque (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Dunkerque (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Le Mans (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Dunkerque (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Le Mans: Bretelle L.
(Inactive)
Buades L.
(Injury)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Harhouz W.
(Leg Injury)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
Voyer H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Diong P.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Le Mans: Rabillard A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Dunkerque?
Le Mans has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Le Mans?
Dunkerque has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Dunkerque were as follows:
19.09.2025
Dunkerque
-
Le Mans
2:2
26.05.2023
Le Mans
-
Dunkerque
2:3
Latest results of Le Mans
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
