Result
2:2
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 6
- Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (517/590) | 73% (212/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (517/590) | 73% (212/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 40% (28/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (133/176) | 41% (30/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Sekongo A. ⚽, Bardeli E. (A),
- 22', Gomes M. 🟨,
- 29', Gomes M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Calodat L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cossier I. ↓, Voyer H. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Bardeli E. ⚽, Essimi M. (A),
- 62', Vercruysse J. ↓, Robin M. ↑,
- 63', Gueye D. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
- 64', Essimi M. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
- 69', Sangante O. 🟥,
- 70', Eguaras I. 🟨,
- 71', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
- 72', Sekongo A. ↓, Kondo G. ↑,
- 73', Zossou A. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
- 76', Rabillard A. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Colas E. ⚽, Voyer H. (A),
- 83', Ribelin A. 🟨,
- 86', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 87', Eguaras I. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dunkerque
48.4% | Draw
27.3% | Le Mans
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunkerque that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Dunkerque - Le Mans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.17) |
3.48 ↑
(3.44) |
3.83 ↑
(3.34) |
5.8%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Le Mans?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Le Mans (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Dunkerque will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
- In recent matches, Dunkerque has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Le Mans's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dunkerque will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Linguet A.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Le Mans: Abanda L.
(Inactive)
Luvambo T.
(Inactive)
Rabillard A.
(Inactive)
Ribelin A.
(Inactive)
Robin M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Le Mans: Voyer H.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Le Mans?
Dunkerque has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Dunkerque?
Le Mans has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Le Mans were as follows:
26.05.2023
Le Mans
-
Dunkerque
2:3
Latest results of Dunkerque
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
