Result
1:3
05/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (366/438) | 85% (408/478) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (366/438) | 85% (408/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 53% (20/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (56/85) | 77% (92/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.92 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Yassine G. ⚽,
- 24', Chennahi T. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 0 - 2, Sasso V. ⚽, Yassine G. (A),
- 60', Niflore M. 🟨,
- 67', Mincarelli L. ↓, El Hannach N. ↑,
- 67', Orakpo V. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 3, Robinet T. ⚽, Zossou A. (A),
- 74', Zossou A. ↓, Essimi M. ↑,
- 75', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 75', Sekongo A. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
- 76', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
- 81', Yassine G. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
- 82', Bardeli E. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 3, Mendy A. ⚽, Savanier T. (A),
- 89', Sylvestre E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/y2k5tty2
Chances of winning
Montpellier
38.4% | Draw
29.9% | Dunkerque
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Montpellier - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.31) |
3.1 ↓
(3.14) |
2.93 ↓
(3.13) |
7.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 20.8% – 59.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Dunkerque (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Montpellier (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Montpellier (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Montpellier (1.72) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 4 - 40%). Dunkerque (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Montpellier has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K.
(Inactive)
Laporte J.
(Inactive)
Ngapandouetnbu S.
(International duty)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
Sainte-Luce T.
(Injury)
Sishuba A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sangante O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montpellier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Dunkerque?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Montpellier?
Dunkerque has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Dunkerque were as follows:
18.10.2025
Dunkerque
-
Montpellier
0:1
Latest results of Montpellier
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Reims | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Red Star | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 38 |
| 7 | Annecy | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Rodez | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Nancy | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Clermont | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Amiens | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Bastia | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 12:25 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Laval | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
