Rodez vs Dunkerque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.83
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (231/283)88% (474/538)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.05
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
82% (231/283)88% (474/538)
Long passes
42% (21/50)57% (26/46)
Passes in final third
67% (58/86)70% (73/104)
Crosses
18% (6/33)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.47
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
1112
Tackles
88% (14/16)45% (5/11)
Duels won
3735
Clearances
1933
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.050.67
Goals prevented
0.05-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Robinet T. , Sasso V. (A),
  • 34', Galves N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Jolibois C. 🟨,
  • 61', Joly O. , Benchamma S. ,
  • 62', Jean-Lambert E. , Ponti R. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Ponti R. , Lipinski R. (A),
  • 77', Essimi M. , Seha Z. ,
  • 78', Zossou A. , Daho A. ,
  • 78', Arconte T. , Nagera K. ,
  • 83', Balde I. , Baaloudj M. ,
  • 83', Galves N. , Tourraine M. ,

Chances of winning


Rodez
35%
Draw
28.1%
Dunkerque
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 26.7% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 26.5% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Rodez - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.64)
    3.35
    (3.5)
    2.52
    (2.46)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rodez - Dunkerque?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Rodez (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Dunkerque will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 50%). Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 2.
    • Rodez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dunkerque is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dunkerque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rodez has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Rodez: Corredor M. (Inactive) Issanchou Roubiou C. (Inactive) Laurent L. (Inactive) Margueron L. (Injury) Pelon A. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury) Vangi D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Kante A. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sangante O. (Inactive) Sylvestre E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Dunkerque were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Rodez - Dunkerque 5:1
    30.08.2024 Dunkerque - Rodez 1:0
    10.02.2024 Rodez - Dunkerque 0:0
    23.09.2023 Dunkerque - Rodez 1:2
    Latest results of Rodez
    15.11.2025 Lavaur - Rodez 1:3
    07.11.2025 Grenoble - Rodez 2:1
    31.10.2025 Montpellier - Rodez 2:0
    28.10.2025 Rodez - Annecy 2:1
    25.10.2025 Amiens - Rodez 2:1
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    07.11.2025 Dunkerque - Boulogne 1:1
    01.11.2025 Reims - Dunkerque 1:2
    28.10.2025 Dunkerque - Red Star 3:0
    24.10.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 0:3
    18.10.2025 Dunkerque - Montpellier 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes28176549:282157
    2St Etienne28165750:292153
    3Le Mans281311441:291250
    4Red Star28138732:27547
    5Reims281210641:261546
    6Rodez281111635:33244
    7Montpellier281261033:25842
    8Dunkerque28109943:34939
    9Annecy281161135:34139
    10Guingamp28109938:40-239
    11Pau FC28109940:44-439
    12Boulogne28971230:38-834
    13Grenoble286121026:33-730
    14Clermont28771430:37-728
    15Nancy28771424:40-1628
    16Amiens28651733:50-1723
    17Laval284111324:41-1723
    18Bastia283111415:31-1620

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National