Result
1:1
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (578/642) | 74% (201/272) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (578/642) | 74% (201/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 23% (10/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (86/123) | 48% (37/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Arconte T. ⚽, Galves N. (A),
- 29', Jean-Lambert E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mayela V. ↓, Sangante O. ↑,
- 59', Kante A. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
- 59', Diong P. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
- 67', Trouillet A. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
- 70', Younoussa W. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Bardeli E. ⚽, Sylvestre E. (A),
- 77', Bardeli E. 🟨,
- 77', Younoussa W. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
- 77', Balde I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
- 86', Joly O. ↓, Issanchou Roubiou C. ↑,
- 86', Arconte T. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
- 89', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Massock T. ↑,
- 89', Bardeli E. ↓, Decherf M. ↑,
- 90+1', Lavin M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Issanchou Roubiou C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dunkerque
43.2% | Draw
26.2% | Rodez
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dunkerque - Rodez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.89) |
3.58 ↓
(3.62) |
3.07 ↓
(3.76) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Rodez?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Rodez will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 29.2% – 76.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Rodez (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodez (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 1.
- Dunkerque has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rodez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Dunkerque will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Knee Injury)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Knock)
Georgen A.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Knee Injury)
Sasso V.
(Leg Injury)
Zossou A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Rodez: Achi M.
(Inactive)
Ponti R.
(Injury)
Tebily H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Rodez?
Dunkerque has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Dunkerque?
Rodez has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Rodez were as follows:
21.11.2025
Rodez
-
Dunkerque
1:1
10.03.2025
Rodez
-
Dunkerque
5:1
30.08.2024
Dunkerque
-
Rodez
1:0
10.02.2024
Rodez
-
Dunkerque
0:0
23.09.2023
Dunkerque
-
Rodez
1:2
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
