Result
5:1
10/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 26
- Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | V Sport 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Montenegro | Arena Sport 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Spain | beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.59 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (268/338) | 85% (392/462) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 65% (64/98) | 70% (78/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 19% (3/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 57% (4/7) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Skytta N. ⚽, Courtet G. (A),
- 13', Sangante O. 🟨,
- 27', Bardeli E. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (5 - 0)
- 46', Yassine G. ↓, Kondo G. ↑,
- 46', Al Saad M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Mambo S. (A),
- 54', 2 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽,
- 55', Bentayeb T. 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 1, Nkada T. ⚽, Taibi W. (A),
- 60', Bentayeb T. ↓, Achi Bouakline M. ↑,
- 61', Galves N. ↓, Bouchouari M. ↑,
- 68', Skytta N. ↓, Pitu A. ↑,
- 68', Courtet G. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
- 70', Raghouber U. 🟨,
- 78', Abner F. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 1, Mazou-Sacko D. ⚽, Nkada T. (A),
- 86', Nkada T. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
- 86', Younoussa W. ↓, Garie H. ↑,
- 90', 5 - 1, Taibi W. ⚽, Verdier Y. (A),
- 90+1', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Pelon A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rodez
33.6% | Draw
27.8% | Dunkerque
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodez's form might have worsened.Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunkerque's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunkerque, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rodez - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.08) |
3.38 ↓
(3.6) |
2.45 ↓
(3.1) |
6%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
What is the prediction for Rodez - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 59.8% – 94.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 1.
- Rodez is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Dunkerque is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Rodez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Rodez: Balde I.
(Yellow Cards)
Chougrani J.
(Injury)
Cibois S.
(Injury)
Cissokho T.
(Yellow Cards)
Lipinski R.
(Knee Injury)
Pelon A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Fortuna N.
(Inactive)
Linguet A.
(Inactive)
Rivera M.
(Inactive)
Sekongo A.
(Inactive)
Youssouf B.
(Inactive)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Rodez won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Dunkerque?
Rodez has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Rodez?
Dunkerque has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Dunkerque were as follows:
30.08.2024
Dunkerque
-
Rodez
1:0
10.02.2024
Rodez
-
Dunkerque
0:0
23.09.2023
Dunkerque
-
Rodez
1:2
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
