Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Bobrovskiy Y. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (231/313) | 81% (353/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (231/313) | 81% (353/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (66/102) | 65% (77/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Ibishev T. 🟨,
- 17', Fernandez R. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Moumi Ngamaleu N. ⚽, Marichal N. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Babaev U. ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
- 46', Keliano M. ↓, Todorovic D. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Melkadze G. ⚽,
- 67', Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
- 79', Fernandez R. ↓, Glebov D. ↑,
- 81', Ibishev T. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
- 81', Samorodov M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Ndong O. (Pen),
- 87', Gadio P. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sergeev I. 🟨,
- 90+4', Melkadze G. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
- 90+5', Rubens ↓, Maouhoub E. ↑,
- 90+8', Tyukavin K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
30.6% | Draw
27.4% | Dynamo Moscow
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.74) |
3.48 ↓
(3.5) |
2.27 ↓
(2.36) |
4.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 1.
- Akhmat is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Dynamo M has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Akhmat: El Mahraoui A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ghandri N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Dynamo M: Aleksandrov D.
(Knee Injury)
Arthur Gomes
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Chavez L.
(Knee Injury)
Majstorovic M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Miranchuk An.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Dynamo M: Glebov D.
(Muscle Injury)
Zaynutdinov B.
(Injury)
- We predict that Dynamo M will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Dynamo Moscow?
Akhmat Grozny has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Akhmat Grozny?
Dynamo Moscow has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
19.10.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:2
08.07.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:1
02.12.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Dynamo Moscow
1:1
15.09.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
4:2
30.06.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:3
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
