Result
2:3
13/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Kaplenkov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 3.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (255/363) | 73% (284/387) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 3.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (255/363) | 73% (284/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (34/71) | 36% (25/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (72/134) | 71% (99/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Moumi Ngamaleu N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', 0 - 2, Arthur Gomes ⚽, Moumi Ngamaleu N. (A),
- 42', 1 - 2, Loncar S. ⚽, Dzyuba A. (A),
- 45+1', Bokoev M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', David Ricardo ↓, Zaydenzal L. ↑,
- 57', Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
- 57', Marinkin T. ↓, Glebov D. ↑,
- 58', Sergeev I. ↓, Tyukavin K. ↑,
- 64', Djurasovic A. ↓, Khosonov K. ↑,
- 64', Rocha Y. ↓, Benchimol ↑,
- 76', Boldyrev M. ↓, Arevalo K. ↑,
- 76', Kuzmin M. ↓, Bazilevskiy N. ↑,
- 87', Zaydenzal L. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 2, Benchimol (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Tyukavin K. ⚽, Osipenko M. (A),
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti
20.6% | Draw
22.7% | Dynamo Moscow
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.7 ↓
(5.2) |
4.28 ↓
(4.3) |
1.71 ↑
(1.54) |
3.1%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Moscow?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Akron will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
- Akron is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Dynamo M has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Dynamo M is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Akron: Djakovac I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Dynamo M: Aleksandrov D.
(Knee Injury)
Zaynutdinov B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Akron: Nedelcearu I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dynamo M: Fernandez R.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Akron won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Akron won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Dynamo Moscow?
Akron Tolyatti has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Akron Tolyatti?
Dynamo Moscow has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
08.11.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Akron Tolyatti
1:2
18.05.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Akron Tolyatti
2:1
03.08.2024
Akron Tolyatti
-
Dynamo Moscow
0:2
04.04.2023
Dynamo Moscow
-
Akron Tolyatti
0:1
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 51:35 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
