Result
3:3
04/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (446/544) | 75% (223/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (446/544) | 75% (223/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/65) | 57% (32/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (92/123) | 67% (80/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.50 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 26', Skopintsev D. 🟨,
- 28', Palacios J. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Moufi F. (Own goal),
- 36', Puebla D. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 0, Tyukavin K. ⚽, Skopintsev D. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Moufi F. ⚽, Kul R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Vedernikov D. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 46', Puebla D. ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
- 51', 2 - 2, Du Queiroz ⚽, Guzina G. (A),
- 57', Sergeev I. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
- 57', Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↓, Arthur Gomes ↑,
- 58', Fernandez R. 🟨,
- 60', Golybin R. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 2, Tyukavin K. ⚽,
- 64', Fernandez R. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
- 64', Marinkin T. ↓, Miranchuk An. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 3, Du Queiroz ⚽,
- 69', Kul R. ↓, Kvekveskiri I. ↑,
- 71', Bitello ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
- 76', Guzina G. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
- 83', Ovsyannikov B. 🟨,
- 89', Bolotov E. ↓, Tataev A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Moscow
63.2% | Draw
19.9% | Orenburg
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.8%)The ML Model estimate for Orenburg aligns with the current prediction.
Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.49) |
4.87 ↑
(4.5) |
5.72 ↑
(5.3) |
3.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Dynamo M is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Dynamo M: Zaynutdinov B.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:24. (average 2.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Orenburg?
Dynamo Moscow has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Dynamo Moscow?
Orenburg has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg were as follows:
21.09.2025
Orenburg
-
Dynamo Moscow
1:3
29.03.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Orenburg
5:1
01.09.2024
Orenburg
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:2
24.04.2024
Orenburg
-
Dynamo Moscow
1:2
17.04.2024
Orenburg
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:4
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:17 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Zenit | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 50:33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Baltika | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Sochi | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 21:53 | -32 | 12 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
