EC Primavera vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
17/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilHBO Max

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.771.79
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
45
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
85
Passes
77% (235/304)80% (287/359)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.771.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.722.22
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
1010
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2126
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1111
Passes
77% (235/304)80% (287/359)
Long passes
34% (21/61)50% (29/58)
Passes in final third
66% (50/76)65% (75/116)
Crosses
13% (2/16)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.45
Throw ins
1527
Fouls
1111
Tackles
75% (9/12)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4639
Clearances
2917
Interceptions
165
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
2.221.72
Goals prevented
-1.78-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Gabriel Poveda , Welliton (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Renatinho , Paulo Baya (A),
  • 34', 2 - 1, Romulo (Penalty Awarded),
  • 43', Paulo Baya 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Diego Galo , Maykon Jesus ,
  • 46', Luan Martins , Samuel Andrade ,
  • 46', Renatinho , Matheus Anjos ,
  • 49', 3 - 1, Jordi (Own goal),
  • 55', 3 - 2, Robson , Maykon Jesus (A),
  • 60', Junior Caicara , Richard Almeyda ,
  • 67', 3 - 3, Maykon Jesus , Romulo (A),
  • 69', Eduardo Brock , Patrick ,
  • 69', Tavinho , Helio Borges ,
  • 75', Leo Naldi 🟨,
  • 76', Leo Naldi , Juninho ,
  • 78', Gabriel Poveda , Leo Passos ,
  • 82', Welliton , Kauan Cunha ,
  • 85', Romulo , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 87', Patrick 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 4, Robson , Ivan Alvarino (A),

Chances of winning


EC Primavera
30.6%
Draw
33.9%
Grêmio Novorizontino
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 28.1% 39.5%

EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.02
(2.9)
2.7
(3.33)
2.61
(2.37)
8.5%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Novorizontino (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Primavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Primavera: Yuri Lima (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Primavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Primavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    11.02.2023 EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1
    Latest results of EC Primavera
    14.01.2026 EC Primavera - Mirassol 3:1
    10.01.2026 Guarani - EC Primavera 1:1
    11.10.2025 Piracicaba - EC Primavera 2:0
    05.10.2025 EC Primavera - Piracicaba 1:0
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino43109:0910
    2Novorizontino430111:569
    3Palmeiras43013:4-19
    4Sao Bernardo42116:247
    5Capivariano42114:5-17
    6Portuguesa42025:416
    7Primavera31117:614
    8Corinthians31114:404
    9Mirassol41124:404
    10Santos31113:304
    11Velo Clube31111:2-14
    12Sao Paulo41124:7-34
    13Noroeste40313:4-13
    14Guarani30212:4-22
    15Botafogo SP30211:6-52
    16Ponte Preta40040:7-70

          Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A2