Result
3:4
17/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (235/304) | 80% (287/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (235/304) | 80% (287/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (50/76) | 65% (75/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.78 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Gabriel Poveda ⚽, Welliton (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Renatinho ⚽, Paulo Baya (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Romulo (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', Paulo Baya 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Diego Galo ↓, Maykon Jesus ↑,
- 46', Luan Martins ↓, Samuel Andrade ↑,
- 46', Renatinho ↓, Matheus Anjos ↑,
- 49', 3 - 1, Jordi (Own goal),
- 55', 3 - 2, Robson ⚽, Maykon Jesus (A),
- 60', Junior Caicara ↓, Richard Almeyda ↑,
- 67', 3 - 3, Maykon Jesus ⚽, Romulo (A),
- 69', Eduardo Brock ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 69', Tavinho ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
- 75', Leo Naldi 🟨,
- 76', Leo Naldi ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 78', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Leo Passos ↑,
- 82', Welliton ↓, Kauan Cunha ↑,
- 85', Romulo ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 87', Patrick 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 4, Robson ⚽, Ivan Alvarino (A),
Chances of winning
EC Primavera
30.6% | Draw
33.9% | Grêmio Novorizontino
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.9) |
2.7 ↓
(3.33) |
2.61 ↑
(2.37) |
8.5%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Novorizontino (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Primavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Primavera: Yuri Lima
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Primavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Primavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Primavera won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
EC Primavera has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against EC Primavera?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
11.02.2023
EC Primavera
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
Latest results of EC Primavera
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Novorizontino ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Guarani | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Capivariano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Santos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Primavera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Noroeste | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Velo Clube | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Paulista A2
