Result
1:0
16/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 37
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (257/321) | 85% (383/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (257/321) | 85% (383/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 55% (36/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (63/86) | 76% (124/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 12% (5/41) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 79% (19/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Jaja ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bruno Jose ↓, Robson ↑,
- 50', Welliton 🟨,
- 57', Lucca ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Anselmo Ramon ⚽, Diego Caito (A),
- 70', Diego Caito 🟨,
- 75', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Alan Stence ↑,
- 75', Welliton ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 77', Tavinho ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
- 77', Fabio Matheus ↓, Airton ↑,
- 82', Willean Lepo ↓, Danilo Cunha ↑,
- 82', Diego Caito ↓, Fabio ↑,
- 86', Romulo ↓, Rafael Donato ↑,
- 90+8', Tadeu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Goiás
42.7% | Draw
29.7% | Grêmio Novorizontino
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goiás's form might have worsened.Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goiás, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Goiás - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.88) |
3.14 ↑
(3.13) |
3.38 ↓
(4.03) |
6.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Goiás - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Goiás (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Goiás will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 7).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Goiás could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Goiás: Diego Caito
(Thigh Injury)
Freitas G.
(Thigh Injury)
Garcia E.
(Inactive)
Marcao Silva
(Inactive)
Wellington Rato
(Injury)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
Waguininho
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Goiás: Anthony
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Goiás won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Goiás won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Goiás has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Goiás?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Goiás - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
23.07.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Goiás
1:0
24.11.2024
Goiás
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
04.08.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Goiás
2:1
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventude | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ceara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | CRB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | America MG | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
