Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
EC São José Porto Alegre
59.7% | Draw
25.1% | Guarany de Bagé
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.52) |
3.66 ↓
(3.9) |
6.05 ↑
(5) |
8.9%
(11.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).
- EC São José is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Guarany de Bagé's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- EC São José may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, EC São José is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that EC São José will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, EC São José won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has EC São José Porto Alegre won against Guarany de Bagé?
EC São José Porto Alegre has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against EC São José Porto Alegre?
Guarany de Bagé has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
11.05.2025
Guarany de Bagé
-
EC São José Porto Alegre
1:0
04.02.2024
EC São José Porto Alegre
-
Guarany de Bagé
1:1
Latest results of EC São José Porto Alegre
Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 10 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | |
| 2 | America RN | Imperatriz | |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | |
| 4 | ASA | Manauara | |
| 5 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | |
| 7 | Mixto | Cianorte | |
| 8 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | |
