EC São José Porto Alegre vs Guarany de Bagé – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
53
Total shots
148
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
117
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


EC São José Porto Alegre
59.7%
Draw
25.1%
Guarany de Bagé
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 23% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 21.8% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.52)
    3.66
    (3.9)
    6.05
    (5)
    8.9%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).
    • EC São José is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Guarany de Bagé's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • EC São José may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, EC São José is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that EC São José will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, EC São José won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Guarany de Bagé - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:0
    04.02.2024 EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé 1:1
    Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM22003:036
    2Sao Raimundo RR21102:024
    3Manauara21102:024
    4Manaus21011:2-13
    5GAS20020:3-30
    6Monte Roraima20020:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto Velho22009:186
    2Araguaina21103:214
    3Guapore21102:114
    4Independencia21013:123
    5Galvez20021:6-50
    6Humaita20021:8-70


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama22004:046
    2Luverdense21102:114
    3Aparecidense21013:303
    4Brasiliense20201:102
    5Primavera AC20112:4-21
    6Inhumas20021:4-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Capital22002:026
    2Goiatuba21103:214
    3Mixto20202:202
    4Operario VG20112:3-11
    5Uniao Rondonopolis20112:3-11
    6Ceilandia20110:1-11


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Imperatriz21103:124
    2Trem20204:402
    3Aguia De Maraba20203:302
    4Tuna Luso20203:302
    5Tocantinopolis10102:201
    6Oratorio10011:3-20


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maracana21104:224
    2Iguatu21102:024
    3IAPE20202:202
    4Sampaio Correa20200:002
    5Moto Club20111:3-21
    6Parnahyba20111:3-21


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense-PI21104:134
    2Ferroviario21104:314
    3Piaui21103:214
    4Atletico-CE20201:102
    5AE Altos20110:3-31
    6Tirol20023:5-20


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1America RN22003:036
    2Maguary21013:123
    3ABC21014:313
    4Sousa21011:2-13
    5Central SC20111:2-11
    6Laguna RN20111:5-41


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lagarto21106:514
    2Sergipe21103:214
    3Treze PB21017:523
    4Serra Branca20203:302
    5Decisao20112:3-11
    6Retro20112:5-31


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSA22006:156
    2Juazeirense22005:236
    3ASA21102:114
    4Jacuipense20111:3-21
    5CSE20022:5-30
    6Alagoinhas20021:5-40


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ivinhema22003:126
    2Betim21102:114
    3Uberlandia21012:203
    4Operario MS20201:102
    5CRAC20110:1-11
    6Ouvidorense20020:2-20


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tombense22004:046
    2Democrata GV21102:114
    3Vitoria ES21013:213
    4Porto-BA21013:5-23
    5Rio Branco ES20113:4-11
    6Real Noroeste20021:4-30


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa RJ21105:144
    2Portuguesa21104:134
    3Agua Santa21015:323
    4Madureira21013:303
    5Pouso Alegre21012:3-13
    6America RJ20020:8-80


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marica22003:126
    2Piracicaba21106:334
    3Velo Clube21013:213
    4Sampaio Correa FE21011:2-13
    5Noroeste20112:3-11
    6Nova Iguacu20021:5-40


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville21102:024
    2Cascavel21101:014
    3Cianorte21013:213
    4Santa Catarina21011:103
    5Guarany de Bage20111:3-21
    6Sao Luiz20110:2-21


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau22006:246
    2Sao Joseense21101:014
    3Brasil de Pelotas21014:403
    4Marcilio Dias20200:002
    5Azuriz20111:2-11
    6EC Sao Jose20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)