Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
03/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3627
Shots off target
1211
Shooting PCT
5.56% (2/36)18.52% (5/27)
Blocked shots
187
Goalkeeper Saves
2234
Saves PCT
84.62% (22/26)94.44% (34/36)
Penalties
53
PIM
219
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)40% (2/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
60% (3/5)100% (3/3)
Hits
1913
Faceoffs Won
2529
Faceoffs %
46.353.7
Giveaways
1318
Takeaways
34
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 11:00, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 16:24, Mangiapane A. (2 min),
  • 16:24, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 05:17, Nurse D. (5 min),
  • 05:17, Carlo B. (5 min),
  • 07:12, 0 - 1, Maccelli M. (G), McCabe J. (A),
  • 11:09, 1 - 1, Walman J. (G), Samanski J. (A), Roslovic J. (A2)
  • 11:18, 1 - 2, Knies M. (G), Roy N. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 3)
  • 04:27, 2 - 2, Kapanen K. (G), Podkolzin V. (A), Emberson T. (A2)
  • 06:38, Savoie M. (2 min),
  • 06:44, Janmark M. (2 min),
  • 07:42, 2 - 3, Tavares J. (G), Nylander W. (A), Knies M. (A2)
  • 08:13, 2 - 4, Maccelli M. (G), Domi M. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
  • 17:22, 2 - 5, McMann B. (G), Matthews A. (A),
  • 18:56, Frederic T. (10 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Edmonton Oilers
50.9%
Draw
20.9%
Toronto Maple Leafs
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 20.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 20.1% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Edmonton Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Edmonton Oilers aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.97)
    4.57
    (4.66)
    3.35
    (3.25)
    5.1%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
    What is the prediction for Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 57.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Edmonton (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Edmonton (2.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5, 3rd Period - Edmonton (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5, 2nd Period - Edmonton (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 2nd Period - Toronto (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Period - Toronto (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Edmonton Oilers will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Edmonton (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Toronto (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Edmonton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Edmonton has had a series of home games.
    • Edmonton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Edmonton: Henrique A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Rielly M. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • We predict that Edmonton will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 57:76. (average 2.9:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 2.2:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Edmonton Oilers 3:6
    01.02.2025 Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    16.11.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Edmonton Oilers 4:3
    23.03.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Edmonton Oilers 6:3
    16.01.2024 Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2
    Latest results of Edmonton Oilers
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche5534399212:13883
    2Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    3Dallas Stars57286914193:16077
    4Vegas Golden Knights572071416191:17968
    5Utah Mammoth57237423183:15764
    6Edmonton Oilers58217822198:19464
    7Seattle Kraken56216920162:16563
    8Anaheim Ducks561812323185:19563
    9Los Angeles Kings561491419146:16160
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
    12Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
    13Winnipeg Jets56202826160:17552
    14Calgary Flames56194627142:16952
    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks57126633149:21042


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning55289414199:14078
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    6Buffalo Sabres57266619195:17670
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    10Washington Capitals59245723189:17765
    11Toronto Maple Leafs57198921188:19463
    12Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    13Philadelphia Flyers561871120167:18061
    14Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    15New Jersey Devils571810227146:17558
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )