Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
2:5
03/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3627
Shots off target
1211
Shooting PCT
5.56% (2/36)18.52% (5/27)
Blocked shots
187
Goalkeeper Saves
2234
Saves PCT
84.62% (22/26)94.44% (34/36)
Penalties
53
PIM
219
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)40% (2/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
60% (3/5)100% (3/3)
Hits
1913
Faceoffs Won
2529
Faceoffs %
46.353.7
Giveaways
1318
Takeaways
34
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 11:00, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 16:24, Mangiapane A. (2 min),
  • 16:24, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 05:17, Nurse D. (5 min),
  • 05:17, Carlo B. (5 min),
  • 07:12, 0 - 1, Maccelli M. (G), McCabe J. (A),
  • 11:09, 1 - 1, Walman J. (G), Samanski J. (A), Roslovic J. (A2)
  • 11:18, 1 - 2, Knies M. (G), Roy N. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 3)
  • 04:27, 2 - 2, Kapanen K. (G), Podkolzin V. (A), Emberson T. (A2)
  • 06:38, Savoie M. (2 min),
  • 06:44, Janmark M. (2 min),
  • 07:42, 2 - 3, Tavares J. (G), Nylander W. (A), Knies M. (A2)
  • 08:13, 2 - 4, Maccelli M. (G), Domi M. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
  • 17:22, 2 - 5, McMann B. (G), Matthews A. (A),
  • 18:56, Frederic T. (10 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Edmonton Oilers
50.9%		Draw
20.9%		Toronto Maple Leafs
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 20.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 20.1% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Edmonton Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Edmonton Oilers aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
    •

    Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.88 ↓
    (1.97)    		 4.57 ↓
    (4.66)    		 3.35 ↑
    (3.25)    		 5.1%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
    What is the prediction for Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 57.1% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Edmonton (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Edmonton (2.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5, 3rd Period - Edmonton (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5, 2nd Period - Edmonton (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 2nd Period - Toronto (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Period - Toronto (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Edmonton Oilers will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Edmonton (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Toronto (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Edmonton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Edmonton has had a series of home games.
    • Edmonton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Edmonton: Henrique A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Rielly M. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • We predict that Edmonton will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 57:76. (average 2.9:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 2.2:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Edmonton Oilers 3:6
    01.02.2025 Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    16.11.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Edmonton Oilers 4:3
    23.03.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Edmonton Oilers 6:3
    16.01.2024 Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2
    Latest results of Edmonton Oilers
    31.01.2026 Edmonton Oilers - Minnesota Wild 3:7 ✺
    29.01.2026 Edmonton Oilers - San Jose Sharks 4:3 ✺
    26.01.2026 Edmonton Oilers - Anaheim Ducks 7:4 ✺
    24.01.2026 Edmonton Oilers - Washington Capitals 6:5 ✺
    22.01.2026 Edmonton Oilers - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:6 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    02.02.2026 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:4 ✺
    31.01.2026 Vancouver Canucks - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:3 ✺
    29.01.2026 Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:2 ✺
    27.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres 4:7 ✺
    25.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche 1:4 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche66395913249:17097
    2Dallas Stars673391015235:18494
    3Minnesota Wild6925141218230:19990
    4Anaheim Ducks672215327223:23377
    5Edmonton Oilers69268926243:23577
    6Utah Mammoth68278627214:19176
    7Vegas Golden Knights682381423220:21176
    8Seattle Kraken67256927193:20571
    9Los Angeles Kings6718101524180:20171
    10San Jose Sharks662012628207:23470
    11Nashville Predators67228928199:22869
    12Winnipeg Jets672351128191:20667
    13St. Louis Blues672431030177:22264
    14Chicago Blackhawks671871230178:21762
    15Calgary Flames67224734167:21259
    16Vancouver Canucks67147838176:24850


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes673111619235:19790
    2Buffalo Sabres68357620237:20090
    3Tampa Bay Lightning66329421237:18486
    4Montreal Canadiens6725121020236:22284
    5Pittsburgh Penguins672951518230:20483
    6New York Islanders682514524200:19283
    7Detroit Red Wings682611823200:20382
    8Boston Bruins682710823224:21482
    9Columbus Blue Jackets6724111121217:20981
    10Ottawa Senators66286923225:20577
    11Philadelphia Flyers6620111223191:20574
    12Washington Capitals68285827212:20374
    13New Jersey Devils672212231180:20470
    14Toronto Maple Leafs692181228216:24170
    15Florida Panthers67267331201:22569
    16New York Rangers67199831190:20964

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