Result
3:2 penalties
14/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.25% (2/32) | 11.11% (2/18) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.89% (16/18) | 93.75% (30/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 12.5% (1/8) | 0% (0/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 87.5% (7/8) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 21 | 37 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.15 | 53.85 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 02:01, 1 - 0, Power O. (G), Benson Z. (A), Carrick S. (A2)
- 02:34, Pezzetta M. (2 min),
- 06:09, 1 - 1, Joshua D. (G), Robertson N. (A),
- 08:12, Schenn L. (5 min),
- 08:12, Joshua D. (5 min),
- 10:52, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
- 15:22, Schenn L. (2 min),
- 15:22, Ostlund N. (2 min),
- 15:22, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:53, 1 - 2, Domi M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Knies M. (A2)
- 06:42, Dahlin R. (2 min),
- 09:51, Pezzetta M. (2 min),
- 11:21, 2 - 2, Quinn J. (G), Ostlund N. (A), McLeod R. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 06:31, Knies M. (2 min),
- 19:11, Byram B. (2 min),
- 19:11, Tavares J. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (2 - 0)
- 1, Thompson T. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Nylander W. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Quinn J. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Cowan E. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Tuch A. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Buffalo Sabres
56% | Draw
20.6% | Toronto Maple Leafs
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buffalo Sabres's performance.Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buffalo Sabres that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.93) |
4.57 ↑
(4.34) |
4.01 ↑
(3.21) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5, OT - Buffalo (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/E Goals, OT - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Buffalo Sabres will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Sabres will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.
- Buffalo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Toronto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Buffalo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Buffalo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Buffalo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Greenway J.
(Abdominal strain)
Kulich J.
(Health problems)
Timmins C.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A.
(Knee Injury)
Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
- There are questionable in Buffalo: Ellis C.
(Injury)
Kozak T.
(Injury)
Pearson T.
(Injury)
Samuelsson M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Buffalo will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 75:74. (average 3.8:3.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:34. (average 3.8:3.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Buffalo Sabres won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Buffalo Sabres has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Buffalo Sabres?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
27.01.2026
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Buffalo Sabres
4:7
25.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Buffalo Sabres
4:3
24.10.2025
Buffalo Sabres
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:3
15.04.2025
Buffalo Sabres
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
0:4
20.12.2024
Buffalo Sabres
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:6
Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
