Seattle Kraken vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
5:2
29/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 1
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Live 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2231
Shots off target
719
Shooting PCT
22.73% (5/22)6.45% (2/31)
Blocked shots
912
Goalkeeper Saves
2917
Saves PCT
93.55% (29/31)80.95% (17/21)
Penalties
32
PIM
64
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)100% (2/2)
Hits
1320
Faceoffs Won
3325
Faceoffs %
56.943.1
Giveaways
1619
Takeaways
45
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:21, 1 - 0, Beniers M. (G), McCann J. (A), Eberle J. (A2)
  • 06:35, Larsson A. (2 min),
  • 15:02, 1 - 1, Robertson N. (G),
  • 18:57, Stecher T. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 06:23, 2 - 1, Wright S. (G), Schwartz J. (A), Larsson A. (A2)
  • 06:54, 3 - 1, Montour B. (G), Gaudreau F. (A),
  • 17:11, Dunn V. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 04:57, Wright S. (2 min),
  • 06:04, 3 - 2, Rielly M. (G), Domi M. (A),
  • 08:32, 4 - 2, Wright S. (G), Montour B. (A),
  • 09:37, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 17:23, 5 - 2, McCann J. (G),

Chances of winning


Seattle Kraken
38.9%		Draw
22.3%		Toronto Maple Leafs
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 23% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 25.8% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seattle Kraken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seattle Kraken that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.46 ↓
    (2.7)    		 4.29 ↑
    (4.1)    		 2.44 ↑
    (2.25)    		 5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 16.1% – 74.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Seattle (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Seattle Kraken will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1.
    • Seattle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Seattle: Meyers B. (Lower-Body Injury) Murray M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Groin Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that Seattle will win today's game, with odds of 2.43.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 2.4:3.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 1.3:4.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken 3:4
    06.02.2025 Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:3
    31.10.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken 4:1
    21.01.2024 Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:3
    30.11.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken 4:3
    Latest results of Seattle Kraken
    27.01.2026 Seattle Kraken - Washington Capitals 5:1 ✺
    25.01.2026 Seattle Kraken - New Jersey Devils 4:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 Seattle Kraken - Anaheim Ducks 2:4 ✺
    21.01.2026 Seattle Kraken - New York Islanders 4:1 ✺
    19.01.2026 Seattle Kraken - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:6 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    27.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres 4:7 ✺
    25.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche 1:4 ✺
    23.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 3:6 ✺
    21.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings 1:2 ✺
    19.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 3:6 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 814771116300:203119
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 8238121220279:226112
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 8231151224272:240104
    4Vegas Golden Knights ✔ 823091726265:25095
    5Utah Mammoth ✔ 813310632265:23592
    6Edmonton Oilers ✔ 813191130276:26891
    7Anaheim Ducks ✔ 812517633268:28490
    8Los Angeles Kings ✔ 8122132026224:24490
    9Nashville Predators8128101033243:26486
    10San Jose Sharks812612835245:29184
    11St. Louis Blues813241233226:25584
    12Winnipeg Jets812871234230:25482
    13Seattle Kraken812681136226:26179
    14Calgary Flames81267939209:25875
    15Chicago Blackhawks822271439213:27572
    16Vancouver Canucks811510848215:31058


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 823914722296:240113
    2Buffalo Sabres ✔ 82428923288:241109
    3Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 824010626290:231106
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 8234141024283:256106
    5Boston Bruins ✔ 8233121027272:250100
    6Ottawa Senators ✔ 823861127278:24699
    7Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ 823471625293:26898
    8Philadelphia Flyers ✔ 8227161227250:24398
    9Washington Capitals82376930263:24495
    10Detroit Red Wings8230111031241:25892
    11Columbus Blue Jackets8228121230253:25392
    12New York Islanders822914534233:24191
    13New Jersey Devils822913337230:25487
    14Florida Panthers82328438251:27684
    15Toronto Maple Leafs822391436253:29978
    16New York Rangers82259939238:25077

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