Result
1:1
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Barron J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Eibar C 22.2% | Draw 28.2% | Derio 49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eibar C's form might have worsened.Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derio's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Eibar C - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.37 ↑ (3.07) |
3.44 ↑ (3.25) |
1.96 ↓ (2.12) |
3.1% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Eibar C is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derio is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Derio could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eibar C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Eibar C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Eibar C won against Derio?
Eibar C has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Eibar C?
Derio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar C - Derio were as follows:
23.02.2025
Eibar C
-
Derio
0:0
Latest results of Eibar C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation