Ismaily vs El Gouna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League
Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.131.41
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
25
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
14
Passes
59% (141/238)71% (249/349)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
1.131.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.140.98
Total shots
69
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
10
Shots inside the box
46
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1311
Passes
59% (141/238)71% (249/349)
Long passes
35% (25/71)30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
38% (29/76)47% (48/102)
Crosses
57% (4/7)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.361.00
Throw ins
1516
Fouls
1113
Tackles
75% (6/8)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4848
Clearances
3226
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
0.981.14
Goals prevented
-1.020.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', El Shimi S. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Shehata K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 27', Ayman A. ↓, El Nagaawy I. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', Samir M. ↓, Abdelaal I. ↑,
  • 51', Wagdi M. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
  • 53', El Zahdi A. ↓, El Sayed B. ↑,
  • 53', Ojo T. ↓, Imad M. ↑,
  • 64', Taalab A. 🟨,
  • 67', Khaled A. 🟨,
  • 68', Taalab A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
  • 80', El Sayed B. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 1, El Shimi S. ⚽,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, El Sayed N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+7', El Sayed N. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
  • 90+7', Khaled A. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,
  • 90+7', Hassan M. ↓, Abdelsalam A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Ismaily
28.7%		Draw
35.4%		El Gouna
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 33.6% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 32.3% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
    •

    Ismaily - El Gouna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.22 ↑
    (2.95)    		 2.61 ↓
    (2.76)    		 2.58 ↓
    (2.66)    		 8.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Ismaily - El Gouna?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 1.
    • Ismaily is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • El Gouna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ismaily - El Gouna were as follows:
    10.12.2025 Ismaily - El Gouna 1:3
    25.05.2025 Ismaily - El Gouna 3:0
    12.02.2025 El Gouna - Ismaily 2:0
    22.07.2024 Ismaily - El Gouna 1:1
    26.02.2024 El Gouna - Ismaily 0:0
    Latest results of Ismaily
    24.02.2026 Ceramica Cleopatra - Ismaily 1:1 ✺
    20.02.2026 Ismaily - Wadi Degla 1:2 ✺
    11.02.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - Ismaily 2:0 ✺
    29.01.2026 Modern Sport - Ismaily 1:0 ✺
    22.01.2026 Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of El Gouna
    23.02.2026 El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab 1:1 ✺
    19.02.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - El Gouna 1:0 ✺
    06.02.2026 El Gouna - Modern Sport 1:1 ✺
    28.01.2026 Pyramids - El Gouna 1:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 El Gouna - Pyramids 0:3
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zamalek ✔ 18124231:121940
    2Pyramids ✔ 18114329:141537
    3Al Ahly ✔ 18107129:161337
    4Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ 19114427:141337
    5Al Masry1878327:19829
    6Smouha1977518:13528
    7Wadi Degla1977523:20328
    8ZED1968519:16326
    9National Bank Egypt18510316:11525
    10Petrojet19510420:21-125
    11Enppi1859417:15224
    12El Gouna1859415:15024
    13Modern Sport1858518:19-123
    14Al Ittihad ✔ 19621115:23-820
    15Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ 19212512:15-318
    16Arab Contractors ✔ 1939712:18-618
    17Haras El Hodood ✔ 19451014:26-1217
    18El Gaish ✔ 1837810:22-1216
    19Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ 19441121:35-1416
    20Pharco ✔ 192898:22-1414
    21El Ismaily ✔ 19321411:26-1511

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
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