Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (141/238) | 71% (249/349) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (141/238) | 71% (249/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (25/71) | 30% (18/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (29/76) | 47% (48/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', El Shimi S. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Shehata K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 27', Ayman A. ↓, El Nagaawy I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 51', Samir M. ↓, Abdelaal I. ↑,
- 51', Wagdi M. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
- 53', El Zahdi A. ↓, El Sayed B. ↑,
- 53', Ojo T. ↓, Imad M. ↑,
- 64', Taalab A. 🟨,
- 67', Khaled A. 🟨,
- 68', Taalab A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
- 80', El Sayed B. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 1, El Shimi S. ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, El Sayed N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+7', El Sayed N. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
- 90+7', Khaled A. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,
- 90+7', Hassan M. ↓, Abdelsalam A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ismaily
28.7% | Draw
35.4% | El Gouna
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Ismaily - El Gouna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.95) |
2.61 ↓
(2.76) |
2.58 ↓
(2.66) |
8.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Ismaily - El Gouna?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 1.
- Ismaily is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- El Gouna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ismaily won against El Gouna?
Ismaily has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Ismaily?
El Gouna has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ismaily - El Gouna were as follows:
10.12.2025
Ismaily
-
El Gouna
1:3
25.05.2025
Ismaily
-
El Gouna
3:0
12.02.2025
El Gouna
-
Ismaily
2:0
22.07.2024
Ismaily
-
El Gouna
1:1
26.02.2024
El Gouna
-
Ismaily
0:0
Latest results of Ismaily
Latest results of El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | ZED | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | El Gouna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | National Bank Egypt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 26 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | El Gaish | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 21 |
| 16 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 20 |
| 17 | Arab Contractors | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 18 | Haras El Hodood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 18 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 17 |
| 20 | Pharco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 16 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 12 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
