Result
05/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
El Mokawloon El Arab
12.7% | Draw
24.1% | Al Ahly Cairo
63.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ahly Cairo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.22 ↑
(6.8) |
3.8
(3.8) |
1.45 ↓
(1.5) |
9.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- El Mokawloon is Premier League (Relegation Group )
- Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 1.
- El Mokawloon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al Ahly is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al Ahly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al Ahly has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al Ahly is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 14:42. (average 0.7:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 3:21. (average 0.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Al Ahly Cairo?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:
30.12.2025
Al Ahly Cairo
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
0:3
04.08.2024
Al Ahly Cairo
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
4:0
04.11.2023
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Al Ahly Cairo
1:2
16.07.2023
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Al Ahly Cairo
1:4
07.03.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
2:1
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
