Result
0:1
05/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (340/424) | 55% (106/193) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (340/424) | 55% (106/193) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 28% (18/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (71/112) | 49% (40/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Naguib S. ⚽, Adel M. (A),
- 18', Dahroug A. 🟨,
- 41', Ojera J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Adly O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mohamed H. ↓, Abdelaati M. ↑,
- 55', Naguib S. 🟨,
- 64', Zizo ↓, Abdelrahim M. ↑,
- 65', Hossam A. 🟨,
- 65', Hossam A. ↓, Shaaban A. ↑,
- 69', Naguib S. ↓, Gamal M. ↑,
- 69', Mohamed H. ↓, Hawash A. ↑,
- 74', Dahroug A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
- 75', El Wahsh O. ↓, Faisal H. ↑,
- 82', Adly O. ↓, Farouk A. ↑,
- 85', Fouad A. ↓, Abdellah I. ↑,
- 85', Hussein H. ↓, Kahraba ↑,
- 87', Faisal H. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ojera J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wadi Degla
32.7% | Draw
36.5% | El Mokawloon El Arab
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Wadi Degla - El Mokawloon El Arab Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.64) |
2.53 ↓
(2.58) |
3.01 ↓
(3.22) |
8.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Wadi Degla - El Mokawloon El Arab?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). El Mokawloon will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wadi Degla: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - El Mokawloon (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 3 - 30%). El Mokawloon (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- El Mokawloon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 0.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Wadi Degla won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Wadi Degla has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Wadi Degla?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wadi Degla - El Mokawloon El Arab were as follows:
25.04.2025
Wadi Degla
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
0:1
15.12.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Wadi Degla
0:0
Latest results of Wadi Degla
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | Pyramids | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Wadi Degla | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 7 | National Bank Egypt | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | ZED | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Smouha | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:12 | 3 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 24 |
| 11 | Modern Sport | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Enppi | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 13 | El Gouna | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 18 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 | Arab Contractors | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Al Ittihad | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13:23 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 18 | Pharco | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 14 |
| 19 | El Gaish | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19:35 | -16 | 13 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10:24 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
