Result
1:0
18/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (340/400) | 72% (164/229) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (340/400) | 72% (164/229) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (22/39) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/107) | 45% (34/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Hernandez B. ↓, Montano M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, Rivero O. ⚽, Corozo J. (A),
- 68', Velez C. ↓, Olmedo M. ↑,
- 68', Guisamano J. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
- 68', Ledesma A. ↓, Pazmino D. ↑,
- 70', Gomez J. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
- 74', Arroyo D. ↓, Castillo Segura B. D. ↑,
- 75', Corozo J. ↓, Souza de Almeida L. ↑,
- 83', Cela A. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 86', Jesus Trindade ↓, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↑,
- 86', Valiente J. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
62.8% | Draw
22% | El Nacional
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)The chances for El Nacional have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The ML Model estimate for Barcelona Guayaquil aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.51) |
4.21 ↑
(3.96) |
6.12 ↑
(6.08) |
8%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 3.
- Barcelona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- El Nacional is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Barcelona is certain favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35:26 (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:9 (average 2.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against El Nacional?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional were as follows:
26.02.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
El Nacional
1:1
19.02.2025
El Nacional
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:1
16.11.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
El Nacional
6:0
05.10.2024
El Nacional
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:0
18.04.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
El Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
| 9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
