Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 24
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (79/97) | 86% (125/145) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (79/97) | 86% (125/145) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 29% (2/7) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (19/29) | 65% (17/26) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 0% (0/1) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Corozo J. ⚽, Parrales M. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Borja F. ⚽, Reasco D. (A),
- 35', 1 - 2, Parrales M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Borja J. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
- 46', Mejia Moreira J. D. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
- 58', Hernandez B. ↓, Maya J. ↑,
- 59', Velez C. ↓, Borja F. ↑,
- 64', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
- 65', Oyola B. ↓, Castillo Segura B. D. ↑,
- 73', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
- 73', Parrales M. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
- 82', Flor F. ↓, Mazamba S. ↑,
- 90', Valiente J. ↓, Guerra F. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
28.9% | Draw
29.5% | Barcelona Guayaquil
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↑
(2.97) |
3.11 ↓
(3.19) |
2.23 ↓
(2.43) |
8.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Barcelona will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Barcelona will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against El Nacional?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
18.04.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
El Nacional
1:0
26.02.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
El Nacional
1:1
19.02.2025
El Nacional
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:1
16.11.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
El Nacional
6:0
05.10.2024
El Nacional
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:0
Latest results of El Nacional
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Macara | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Manta | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
