El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Mushuc Runa
28/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


El Nacional
39%
Draw
27%
Mushuc Runa
34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27.1% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for El Nacional have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Mushuc Runa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • El Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    • Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 4.
    • El Nacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mushuc Runa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Mushuc Runa - El Nacional 2:3
    24.11.2024 Mushuc Runa - El Nacional 2:2
    31.10.2024 El Nacional - Mushuc Runa 2:0
    23.10.2024 Mushuc Runa - El Nacional 1:2
    26.05.2024 El Nacional - Mushuc Runa 1:0
    Latest results of El Nacional
    21.09.2025 Emelec - El Nacional 4:0
    18.09.2025 9 de Octubre - El Nacional 2:1
    29.08.2025 Vinotinto - El Nacional 0:1
    24.08.2025 El Nacional - LDU Quito 1:0
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle ✔ 29189255:233263
    2Barcelona SC ✔ 29165845:321353
    3LDU Quito29139745:301548
    4U. Catolica291210756:381846
    5Dep. Cuenca29137934:27746
    6Orense29137934:32246
    7Libertad291110841:36543
    8Emelec291181030:34-441
    9Aucas291171137:40-340
    10Macara ✔ 298111029:29035
    11EL Nacional ✔ 29971332:41-934
    12Delfin296121126:42-1630
    13Tecnico U29771525:43-1828
    14Vinotinto29761634:42-827
    15Manta295111333:50-1726
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 29661733:50-1724

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )