El Nacional vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Result
0:3
21/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 17
  • Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.63
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
719
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
67% (130/194)89% (446/502)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.291.21
Total shots
719
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
67% (130/194)89% (446/502)
Long passes
40% (21/53)78% (57/73)
Passes in final third
44% (28/63)79% (118/149)
Crosses
0% (0/4)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.131.11
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
1013
Tackles
55% (6/11)100% (4/4)
Duels won
3028
Clearances
1813
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.210.29
Goals prevented
-1.790.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Clavijo E. 🟨,
  • 18', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 37', Bedoya A. 🟥,
  • 43', Cifuentes J. , Carabali F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 55', 0 - 1, Canga L. ,
  • 66', Rodriguez A. , Mejia E. ,
  • 66', Valencia E. , Yanez Zambrano S. ,
  • 70', 0 - 2, Palacios B. ,
  • 70', Cela A. , Hernandez B. ,
  • 70', Velez C. , Mejia Moreira J. D. ,
  • 71', Guisamano J. , Chala J. ,
  • 71', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Yanez Zambrano S. ,
  • 82', Clavijo E. , Troya R. ,
  • 82', Palacios B. , Draper A. ,
  • 83', Romero Padilla D. A. , Caicedo R. ,
  • 90+1', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


El Nacional
29.6%
Draw
26.8%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 28% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 28.2% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (3.13)
    3.46
    (3.34)
    2.12
    (2.23)
    8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • El Nacional is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Uni Católica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Uni Católica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - El Nacional 1:1
    04.08.2024 El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:2
    03.03.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - El Nacional 3:0
    02.09.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - El Nacional 1:1
    08.04.2023 El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:2
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    3LDU Quito22117438:211740
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Aucas22105730:27335
    6Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    7Libertad2297633:28534
    8U. Catolica2287738:29931
    9Emelec2277820:26-628
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta2258929:38-923
    15Tecnico U22471120:33-1319
    16Mushuc Runa22451324:39-1517

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )