Result
0:3
21/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 17
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (130/194) | 89% (446/502) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (130/194) | 89% (446/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 78% (57/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 79% (118/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.79 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Clavijo E. 🟨,
- 18', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 37', Bedoya A. 🟥,
- 43', Cifuentes J. ↓, Carabali F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 55', 0 - 1, Canga L. ⚽,
- 66', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
- 66', Valencia E. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 2, Palacios B. ⚽,
- 70', Cela A. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 70', Velez C. ↓, Mejia Moreira J. D. ↑,
- 71', Guisamano J. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
- 71', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
- 79', 0 - 3, Yanez Zambrano S. ⚽,
- 82', Clavijo E. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 82', Palacios B. ↓, Draper A. ↑,
- 83', Romero Padilla D. A. ↓, Caicedo R. ↑,
- 90+1', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
29.6% | Draw
26.8% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.13) |
3.46 ↑
(3.34) |
2.12 ↓
(2.23) |
8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- El Nacional is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Uni Católica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Uni Católica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
El Nacional has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against El Nacional?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
23.02.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
El Nacional
1:1
04.08.2024
El Nacional
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:2
03.03.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
El Nacional
3:0
02.09.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
El Nacional
1:1
08.04.2023
El Nacional
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
Latest results of El Nacional
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Aucas | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
