North Carolina vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive
Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Surgan J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.38
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
89% (368/412)89% (318/359)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.00
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1412
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1220
Passes
89% (368/412)89% (318/359)
Long passes
45% (9/20)59% (33/56)
Passes in final third
68% (58/85)71% (46/65)
Crosses
32% (6/19)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.06
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
2012
Tackles
80% (8/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.000.49
Goals prevented
0.00-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Ackwei W. 🟥,
  • 15', Waite J. 🟨,
  • 17', Sorto C. , Alfaro T. ,
  • 22', Avila R. 🟨,
  • 25', Burner P. 🟨,
  • 27', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sommersall R. 🟨,
  • 45+8', 1 - 0, Conway E. , Pedro Becker (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Roberts T. 🟨,
  • 59', Pedro Becker 🟨,
  • 63', Sommersall R. , Maldonado M. ,
  • 63', Roberts T. , Da Costa R. ,
  • 74', Avila R. , Cabrera A. ,
  • 74', Moreno A. , Coronado R. ,
  • 81', Perez L. 🟨,
  • 86', Calvillo E. , Rodriguez E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Carolina
40.8%
Draw
27.9%
El Paso Locomotive
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 27.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.6% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for El Paso Locomotive aligns with the current prediction.
  • North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.25)
    3.32
    (3.4)
    2.96
    (2.91)
    8.1%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    28.09.2024 El Paso Locomotive - North Carolina 1:0
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

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