North Carolina vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Surgan J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.38
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
89% (368/412)89% (318/359)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.00
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1412
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1220
Passes
89% (368/412)89% (318/359)
Long passes
45% (9/20)59% (33/56)
Passes in final third
68% (58/85)71% (46/65)
Crosses
32% (6/19)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.06
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
2012
Tackles
80% (8/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.000.49
Goals prevented
0.00-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Ackwei W. 🟥,
  • 15', Waite J. 🟨,
  • 17', Sorto C. , Alfaro T. ,
  • 22', Avila R. 🟨,
  • 25', Burner P. 🟨,
  • 27', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sommersall R. 🟨,
  • 45+8', 1 - 0, Conway E. , Pedro Becker (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Roberts T. 🟨,
  • 59', Pedro Becker 🟨,
  • 63', Sommersall R. , Maldonado M. ,
  • 63', Roberts T. , Da Costa R. ,
  • 74', Avila R. , Cabrera A. ,
  • 74', Moreno A. , Coronado R. ,
  • 81', Perez L. 🟨,
  • 86', Calvillo E. , Rodriguez E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Carolina
40.8%
Draw
27.9%
El Paso Locomotive
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 27.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.6% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for El Paso Locomotive aligns with the current prediction.
  • North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.25)
    3.32
    (3.4)
    2.96
    (2.91)
    8.1%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    28.09.2024 El Paso Locomotive - North Carolina 1:0
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)