North Carolina vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive
Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Surgan J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.38
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
89% (368/412)89% (318/359)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.00
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1412
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1220
Passes
89% (368/412)89% (318/359)
Long passes
45% (9/20)59% (33/56)
Passes in final third
68% (58/85)71% (46/65)
Crosses
32% (6/19)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.06
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
2012
Tackles
80% (8/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.000.49
Goals prevented
0.00-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Ackwei W. 🟥,
  • 15', Waite J. 🟨,
  • 17', Sorto C. , Alfaro T. ,
  • 22', Avila R. 🟨,
  • 25', Burner P. 🟨,
  • 27', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sommersall R. 🟨,
  • 45+8', 1 - 0, Conway E. , Pedro Becker (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Roberts T. 🟨,
  • 59', Pedro Becker 🟨,
  • 63', Sommersall R. , Maldonado M. ,
  • 63', Roberts T. , Da Costa R. ,
  • 74', Avila R. , Cabrera A. ,
  • 74', Moreno A. , Coronado R. ,
  • 81', Perez L. 🟨,
  • 86', Calvillo E. , Rodriguez E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Carolina
40.8%
Draw
27.9%
El Paso Locomotive
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 27.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.6% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for El Paso Locomotive aligns with the current prediction.
  • North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.25)
    3.32
    (3.4)
    2.96
    (2.91)
    8.1%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    28.09.2024 El Paso Locomotive - North Carolina 1:0
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

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