El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
01/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.86
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
81% (280/345)85% (338/396)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.62
Total shots
89
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2522
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
912
Passes
81% (280/345)85% (338/396)
Long passes
58% (40/69)65% (30/46)
Passes in final third
55% (47/86)77% (109/141)
Crosses
27% (3/11)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.59
Throw-ins
1125
Fouls
129
Tackles
67% (10/15)100% (7/7)
Duels won
3531
Clearances
2015
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.621.66
Goals prevented
-0.38-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Moreno A. , Gabriel Torres (A),
  • 5', 2 - 0, Calvillo E. , Avila R. (A),
  • 45+3', Riley C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Johnson E. , Trejo D. ,
  • 46', Elmasnaouy A. , Gomez D. ,
  • 56', Prentice W. , Bettache F. ,
  • 64', Avila R. 🟨,
  • 65', Avila R. , Daroma F. ,
  • 65', Waite J. , Mora-Mora S. ,
  • 70', Doner M. , Damm J. ,
  • 72', 3 - 0, Moreno A. , Calvillo E. (A),
  • 75', Calvillo E. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 81', Cabrera A. , Sorto C. ,
  • 82', Mora-Mora S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Wilson P. , Gomez D. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
67.5%
Draw
18.8%
Oakland Roots
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 26.7% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 26.1% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.
  • Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oakland Roots might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oakland Roots could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.94)
    5.83
    (3.47)
    7.95
    (3.61)
    -8.5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. El Paso will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - El Paso (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 2 - 50%). Oakland Roots (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
    • El Paso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Oakland Roots's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • El Paso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    19.06.2024 Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive 2:1
    13.04.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots 2:3
    14.10.2023 Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive 1:2
    22.07.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots 1:3
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    Latest results of Oakland Roots
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)