Result
3:1
01/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.02 | 0.86 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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8 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (280/345) | 85% (338/396) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.02 | 0.86 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.66 | 0.62 |
Total shots |
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8 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
3 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
81% (280/345) | 85% (338/396) |
Long passes |
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58% (40/69) | 65% (30/46) |
Passes in final third |
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55% (47/86) | 77% (109/141) |
Crosses |
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27% (3/11) | 17% (4/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.41 | 1.59 |
Throw-ins |
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11 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 9 |
Tackles |
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67% (10/15) | 100% (7/7) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 31 |
Clearances |
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20 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.62 | 1.66 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.38 | -1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Moreno A. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
- 5', 2 - 0, Calvillo E. ⚽, Avila R. (A),
- 45+3', Riley C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Johnson E. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
- 46', Elmasnaouy A. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 56', Prentice W. ↓, Bettache F. ↑,
- 64', Avila R. 🟨,
- 65', Avila R. ↓, Daroma F. ↑,
- 65', Waite J. ↓, Mora-Mora S. ↑,
- 70', Doner M. ↓, Damm J. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Moreno A. ⚽, Calvillo E. (A),
- 75', Calvillo E. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 81', Cabrera A. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
- 82', Mora-Mora S. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Wilson P. ⚽, Gomez D. (A),
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive 67.5% | Draw 18.8% | Oakland Roots 13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oakland Roots might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-18.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oakland Roots could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (1.94) |
5.83 ↑ (3.47) |
7.95 ↑ (3.61) |
-8.5% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. El Paso will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
- El Paso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Oakland Roots's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- El Paso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Oakland Roots?
El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oakland Roots won against El Paso Locomotive?
Oakland Roots has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots were as follows:
07.06.2025
Oakland Roots
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:0
19.06.2024
Oakland Roots
-
El Paso Locomotive
2:1
13.04.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Oakland Roots
2:3
14.10.2023
Oakland Roots
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:2
22.07.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
Oakland Roots
1:3
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of Oakland Roots
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )