El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
01/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.86
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
81% (280/345)85% (338/396)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.62
Total shots
89
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2522
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
912
Passes
81% (280/345)85% (338/396)
Long passes
58% (40/69)65% (30/46)
Passes in final third
55% (47/86)77% (109/141)
Crosses
27% (3/11)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.59
Throw-ins
1125
Fouls
129
Tackles
67% (10/15)100% (7/7)
Duels won
3531
Clearances
2015
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.621.66
Goals prevented
-0.38-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Moreno A. , Gabriel Torres (A),
  • 5', 2 - 0, Calvillo E. , Avila R. (A),
  • 45+3', Riley C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Johnson E. , Trejo D. ,
  • 46', Elmasnaouy A. , Gomez D. ,
  • 56', Prentice W. , Bettache F. ,
  • 64', Avila R. 🟨,
  • 65', Avila R. , Daroma F. ,
  • 65', Waite J. , Mora-Mora S. ,
  • 70', Doner M. , Damm J. ,
  • 72', 3 - 0, Moreno A. , Calvillo E. (A),
  • 75', Calvillo E. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 81', Cabrera A. , Sorto C. ,
  • 82', Mora-Mora S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Wilson P. , Gomez D. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
67.5%
Draw
18.8%
Oakland Roots
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 26.7% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 26.1% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.
  • Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oakland Roots might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oakland Roots could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.94)
    5.83
    (3.47)
    7.95
    (3.61)
    -8.5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. El Paso will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - El Paso (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 2 - 50%). Oakland Roots (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
    • El Paso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Oakland Roots's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • El Paso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    19.06.2024 Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive 2:1
    13.04.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots 2:3
    14.10.2023 Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive 1:2
    22.07.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots 1:3
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    Latest results of Oakland Roots
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

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