El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
01/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.86
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
81% (280/345)85% (338/396)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.62
Total shots
89
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2522
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
912
Passes
81% (280/345)85% (338/396)
Long passes
58% (40/69)65% (30/46)
Passes in final third
55% (47/86)77% (109/141)
Crosses
27% (3/11)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.59
Throw-ins
1125
Fouls
129
Tackles
67% (10/15)100% (7/7)
Duels won
3531
Clearances
2015
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.621.66
Goals prevented
-0.38-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Moreno A. , Gabriel Torres (A),
  • 5', 2 - 0, Calvillo E. , Avila R. (A),
  • 45+3', Riley C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Johnson E. , Trejo D. ,
  • 46', Elmasnaouy A. , Gomez D. ,
  • 56', Prentice W. , Bettache F. ,
  • 64', Avila R. 🟨,
  • 65', Avila R. , Daroma F. ,
  • 65', Waite J. , Mora-Mora S. ,
  • 70', Doner M. , Damm J. ,
  • 72', 3 - 0, Moreno A. , Calvillo E. (A),
  • 75', Calvillo E. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 81', Cabrera A. , Sorto C. ,
  • 82', Mora-Mora S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Wilson P. , Gomez D. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
67.5%
Draw
18.8%
Oakland Roots
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 26.7% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 26.1% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.
  • Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oakland Roots might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oakland Roots could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.94)
    5.83
    (3.47)
    7.95
    (3.61)
    -8.5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. El Paso will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - El Paso (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. El Paso (votes: 2 - 50%). Oakland Roots (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
    • El Paso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Oakland Roots's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • El Paso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    19.06.2024 Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive 2:1
    13.04.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots 2:3
    14.10.2023 Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive 1:2
    22.07.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots 1:3
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    Latest results of Oakland Roots
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City851216:11516
    2Tampa Bay642011:4714
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Pittsburgh731310:12-210
    5Charleston73138:12-410
    6Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    7Indy Eleven623110:829
    8Miami FC72327:10-39
    9Rhode Island622211:838
    10Brooklyn72146:10-47
    11Birmingham61327:8-16
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax70165:14-91


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC84317:3415
    2San Antonio84318:5315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Oakland Roots834114:11313
    5Sacramento Republic72418:5310
    6Phoenix Rising723211:839
    7FC Tulsa72329:819
    8Colorado Springs622212:1028
    9New Mexico52035:8-36
    10Lexington71336:8-26
    11Las Vegas Lights712411:15-45
    12Monterey Bay70253:13-102

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