Result
3:0
12/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Hernandez C. (Cos)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (320/380) | 87% (521/599) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (320/380) | 87% (521/599) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (36/57) | 48% (32/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (70/96) | 65% (75/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Benitez M. 🟨,
- 16', Tony Alfaro 🟨,
- 33', Kleemann F. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Herrera J. ⚽, Benitez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Dollenmayer N. ↓, Gabriel Torres ↑,
- 46', Kleemann F. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
- 56', Carter D. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
- 58', Edwards A. 🟨,
- 61', Edwards A. ↓, Gurr J. ↑,
- 61', Cicerone R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
- 67', Lopez R. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 67', Quezada A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Benitez M. ⚽, Willey B. (A),
- 78', Lopez F. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
- 82', Willey B. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
- 85', Gabriel Torres 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 0, Parano C. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
48.1% | Draw
28.3% | El Paso Locomotive
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.05) |
3.25 ↓
(3.35) |
3.9 ↑
(3.34) |
8.8%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 3.
- In recent matches, Sacramento Republic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- El Paso is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against El Paso Locomotive?
Sacramento Republic has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Sacramento Republic?
El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
19.10.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Sacramento Republic
2:1
14.08.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
El Paso Locomotive
2:0
16.09.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:0
11.03.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
Sacramento Republic
0:1
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34:14 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Rhode Island | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | El Paso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 24 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
