Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (309/364) | 83% (231/278) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (309/364) | 83% (231/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (31/60) | 49% (18/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (54/85) | 61% (35/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Ukaegbu C. 🟨,
- 21', Ortiz A. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Gabriel Torres ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jamieson L. ↓, Cicerone R. ↑,
- 46', Edwards A. ↓, Gurr J. ↑,
- 47', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 51', Calvillo E. 🟨,
- 66', Spaulding R. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
- 66', Ukaegbu C. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
- 67', Sorto C. 🟨,
- 74', Herrera J. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
- 77', Sorto C. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
- 90', Moreno A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 90+2', Gurr J. 🟨,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive
40.2% | Draw
29.1% | Sacramento Republic
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.5) |
3.2 ↑
(3.1) |
3.02 ↑
(2.81) |
7.6%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
- Recent performances by El Paso have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sacramento Republic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Sacramento Republic?
El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against El Paso Locomotive?
Sacramento Republic has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
12.07.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
El Paso Locomotive
3:0
19.10.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Sacramento Republic
2:1
14.08.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
El Paso Locomotive
2:0
16.09.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:0
11.03.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
Sacramento Republic
0:1
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
