El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.35
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
85% (309/364)83% (231/278)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.540.10
Total shots
146
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
167
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1421
Passes
85% (309/364)83% (231/278)
Long passes
52% (31/60)49% (18/37)
Passes in final third
64% (54/85)61% (35/57)
Crosses
21% (4/19)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.34
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
2315
Tackles
67% (6/9)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3648
Clearances
1329
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.100.54
Goals prevented
0.10-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Ukaegbu C. 🟨,
  • 21', Ortiz A. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Gabriel Torres ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jamieson L. , Cicerone R. ,
  • 46', Edwards A. , Gurr J. ,
  • 47', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 51', Calvillo E. 🟨,
  • 66', Spaulding R. , Benitez M. ,
  • 66', Ukaegbu C. , Wanner D. ,
  • 67', Sorto C. 🟨,
  • 74', Herrera J. , Bennett K. ,
  • 77', Sorto C. , Coronado R. ,
  • 90', Moreno A. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 90+2', Gurr J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
40.2%
Draw
29.1%
Sacramento Republic
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 29.9% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 30.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.5)
    3.2
    (3.1)
    3.02
    (2.81)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
    • Recent performances by El Paso have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 3:0
    19.10.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    14.08.2024 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 2:0
    16.09.2023 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 1:0
    11.03.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 0:1
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)