Elche vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Elche - Castellón
Result
3:1
08/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.830.55
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
914
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
17
Blocked Shots
14
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
27
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
1411
Offsides
03
Fouls
1114
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1723
Touches in the Opposition Box
2130
Passes
80% (359/446)76% (242/320)
Passes in the final third
61% (64/105)58% (60/103)
Crosses
44% (4/9)33% (5/15)
Tackles
53% (8/15)89% (8/9)
Clearances Total
2325
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. , Aguado M. (A),
  • 37', 2 - 0, Valera G. , Josan (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Zarfino G. , Lottin A. ,
  • 61', Plano O. , Donald J. ,
  • 64', Josan , Castro N. ,
  • 64', Aguado M. , Pejino ,
  • 66', Jojic M. , Pastor G. ,
  • 68', Bigas P. 🟨,
  • 72', van den Belt T. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Donald J. , Valera G. (A),
  • 77', 3 - 1, Gil O. ,
  • 78', Sanchez R. , Cipenga B. ,
  • 79', Mabil A. , Traore M. ,
  • 81', Valera G. , Izquierdo J. ,
  • 81', Diaby B. , Affengruber D. ,
  • 85', Suero I. , Markanich N. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4vk7tuv9

Chances of winning


Elche
51.2%
Draw
26.7%
Castellón
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 26.3% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 29.1% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Elche - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.76)
    3.53
    (3.55)
    4.3
    (4.49)
    6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Elche - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: Elche will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • Recent matches Elche is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Castellón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Elche is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Elche: Mercau N. (Thigh Injury) Rashani E. (Muscle Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Calatrava A. (Yellow Cards) Jimenez A. (Red Card) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Willems J. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Elche won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:6
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Castellón were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Castellón - Elche 0:2
    31.07.2024 Elche - Castellón 0:6
    Latest results of Elche
    02.03.2025 Racing Santander - Elche 2:0
    23.02.2025 Elche - Cartagena 2:1
    17.02.2025 Almería - Elche 1:1
    09.02.2025 Elche - Tenerife 2:0
    01.02.2025 Mirandés - Elche 3:0
    Latest results of Castellón
    01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1
    23.02.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 0:0
    15.02.2025 Castellón - Eibar 2:0
    08.02.2025 Ferrol - Castellón 1:3
    02.02.2025 Castellón - Huesca 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander1061324:17719
    2Las Palmas1154212:7519
    3Cadiz CF1053211:9218
    4Dep. La Coruna1044218:11716
    5Almeria1044219:17216
    6Burgos CF1043316:11515
    7Valladolid1043312:9315
    8Andorra1043313:13015
    9Gijon1050516:17-115
    10Ceuta1043310:12-215
    11Leganes1035210:7314
    12Huesca104249:12-314
    13Albacete1034315:16-113
    14Cordoba1034311:13-213
    15Eibar1033411:10112
    16Castellon1033413:13012
    17Cultural Leonesa1032512:13-111
    18Malaga103259:12-311
    19Granada CF1024411:15-410
    20Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    21Mirandes102359:14-59
    22Zaragoza101366:17-116

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