Result
3:1
08/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 30
- Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (359/446) | 76% (242/320) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (64/105) | 58% (60/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 33% (5/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 89% (8/9) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. ⚽, Aguado M. (A),
- 37', 2 - 0, Valera G. ⚽, Josan (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zarfino G. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
- 61', Plano O. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
- 64', Josan ↓, Castro N. ↑,
- 64', Aguado M. ↓, Pejino ↑,
- 66', Jojic M. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
- 68', Bigas P. 🟨,
- 72', van den Belt T. 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 0, Donald J. ⚽, Valera G. (A),
- 77', 3 - 1, Gil O. ⚽,
- 78', Sanchez R. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
- 79', Mabil A. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 81', Valera G. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
- 81', Diaby B. ↓, Affengruber D. ↑,
- 85', Suero I. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4vk7tuv9
Chances of winning
Elche
51.2% | Draw
26.7% | Castellón
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Elche - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.76) |
3.53 ↓
(3.55) |
4.3 ↓
(4.49) |
6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Elche - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
Elche will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
- Recent matches Elche is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Castellón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Elche is a favorite.
- There will not play in Elche: Mercau N.
(Thigh Injury)
Rashani E.
(Muscle Injury)
Santiago Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Calatrava A.
(Yellow Cards)
Jimenez A.
(Red Card)
Mamah K.
(Muscle Injury)
Ruiz S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Castellón: Willems J.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Elche won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:6
How many head-to-head matches has Elche won against Castellón?
Elche has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Elche?
Castellón has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Castellón were as follows:
22.12.2024
Castellón
-
Elche
0:2
31.07.2024
Elche
-
Castellón
0:6
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
