Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 40
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (383/475) | 69% (180/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (383/475) | 69% (180/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 39% (30/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (126/170) | 51% (48/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Gamez F. 🟨,
- 45+4', Gil O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gil O. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
- 61', Moyita S. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 66', Gassama S. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
- 66', Collado D. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
- 69', Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 71', 0 - 1, Llabres J. (Pen),
- 77', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
- 78', Jimenez A. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
- 81', Suero I. 🟨,
- 81', Dumic D. 🟨,
- 82', Gamez F. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
- 82', Martos I. ↓, Mendez D. ↑,
- 84', Mendez D. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 1, Markanich N. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
- 86', Llabres J. ↓, Fede ↑,
- 90+1', Calatrava A. ↓, Zarfino G. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bfmwsrxp
Chances of winning
Castellón
59% | Draw
21.7% | Eldense
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Castellón - Eldense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.65) |
4.32 ↑
(3.85) |
4.81 ↑
(4.75) |
6.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Castellón - Eldense?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Eldense will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 54% – 99.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Eldense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Eldense (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Eldense (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Castellón has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Eldense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Mamah K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Eldense: Masca
(Injury)
Ortuno J.
(Red Card)
Pina
(Injury)
Ropero U.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Eldense: Mendez D.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Eldense?
Castellón has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Eldense won against Castellón?
Eldense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Eldense were as follows:
06.10.2024
Eldense
-
Castellón
2:3
12.02.2023
Castellón
-
Eldense
2:0
30.10.2022
Eldense
-
Castellón
1:1
Latest results of Castellón
Latest results of Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 35 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 72:54 | 18 | 65 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 53:38 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Almeria | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 67:52 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Malaga | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 58:41 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | Castellon | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 58:43 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 45:30 | 15 | 57 |
| 8 | Eibar | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 54 |
| 9 | Andorra | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 51:47 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Gijon | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 45:44 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:55 | -13 | 49 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:52 | -5 | 48 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 14 | Albacete | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 44:47 | -3 | 44 |
| 15 | Leganes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40:38 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 45:50 | -5 | 41 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:47 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 19 | Zaragoza | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Huesca | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 35:53 | -18 | 33 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 37:56 | -19 | 33 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 31:56 | -25 | 32 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
