Castellón vs Eldense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 40
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
indiaIndiaGXR World
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.361.99
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
81% (383/475)69% (180/262)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.361.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.812.01
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
3222
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
81% (383/475)69% (180/262)
Long passes
42% (18/43)39% (30/77)
Passes in final third
74% (126/170)51% (48/94)
Crosses
29% (6/21)43% (9/21)
Expected assists (xA)
2.031.54
Throw-ins
1311
Fouls
1213
Tackles
58% (7/12)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4336
Clearances
1022
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
2.012.81
Goals prevented
1.011.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Gamez F. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Gil O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gil O. , Escobar J. ,
  • 61', Moyita S. , Suero I. ,
  • 66', Gassama S. , Quintana Nacho ,
  • 66', Collado D. , Chapela I. ,
  • 69', Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Llabres J. (Pen),
  • 77', Vertrouwd J. , Markanich N. ,
  • 78', Jimenez A. , Ruiz S. ,
  • 81', Suero I. 🟨,
  • 81', Dumic D. 🟨,
  • 82', Gamez F. , Parra R. ,
  • 82', Martos I. , Mendez D. ,
  • 84', Mendez D. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Markanich N. , Calatrava A. (A),
  • 86', Llabres J. , Fede ,
  • 90+1', Calatrava A. , Zarfino G. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bfmwsrxp

Chances of winning


Castellón
59%
Draw
21.7%
Eldense
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 24.1% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 23.4% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Castellón - Eldense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.65)
    4.32
    (3.85)
    4.81
    (4.75)
    6.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Castellón - Eldense?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Eldense will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Eldense (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Castellón will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Eldense (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Castellón has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Eldense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Eldense: Masca (Injury) Ortuno J. (Red Card) Pina (Injury) Ropero U. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Eldense: Mendez D. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Eldense were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Eldense - Castellón 2:3
    12.02.2023 Castellón - Eldense 2:0
    30.10.2022 Eldense - Castellón 1:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    10.05.2025 Mirandés - Castellón 3:2
    27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0
    18.04.2025 Castellón - Almería 4:1
    Latest results of Eldense
    11.05.2025 Eldense - Málaga 1:0
    04.05.2025 Almería - Eldense 5:0
    26.04.2025 Eldense - Córdoba 1:1
    19.04.2025 Ferrol - Eldense 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

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