Elfsborg vs Qarabağ Agdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Elfsborg - Qarabağ Agdam
Result
1:0
12/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.99
Ball Possession
30%70%
Goal Attempts
814
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
46
Blocked Shots
16
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
720
Offsides
30
Fouls
207
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1622
Touches in the Opposition Box
1538
Passes
72% (209/291)89% (592/667)
Passes in the final third
59% (37/63)81% (158/196)
Crosses
20% (1/5)18% (5/28)
Tackles
71% (17/24)57% (13/23)
Clearances Total
269
Interceptions
1013

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Qasem A. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
  • 61', Huseynov B. 🟨,
  • 67', Kashchuk O. ↓, Leandro Andrade ↑,
  • 70', Zeneli A. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
  • 77', Qasem A. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
  • 77', Baidoo M. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
  • 78', Romao J. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
  • 78', Vesovic M. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
  • 80', Juninho 🟨,
  • 86', Jankovic M. 🟨,
  • 86', Kaib R. 🟨,
  • 87', Jankovic M. ↓, Andrade P. ↑,
  • 87', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Elfsborg
36.6%		Draw
27%		Qarabağ Agdam
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 29% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 29.8% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elfsborg's form might have worsened.
  • Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elfsborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Elfsborg - Qarabağ Agdam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.62 ↑
    (2.05)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.15)    		 2.64 ↓
    (3.45)    		 4.1%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Qarabağ Agdam?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 22% – 61.4%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Elfsborg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Qarabağ is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Elfsborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Qarabağ have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elfsborg: Frick P. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    06.12.2024 Elfsborg - Häcken 5:1
    28.11.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Elfsborg 3:0 ✺
    10.11.2024 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0 ✺
    07.11.2024 Elfsborg - Braga 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2024 Elfsborg - Västerås SK 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    07.12.2024 Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam 1:1
    04.12.2024 Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam 0:2
    01.12.2024 Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam 0:3 ✺
    28.11.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Lyon 1:4 ✺
    23.11.2024 Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam 0:3
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    4Braga22003:036
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    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

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