Elfsborg vs Qarabağ Agdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Elfsborg - Qarabağ Agdam
Result
1:0
12/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.99
Ball Possession
30%70%
Goal Attempts
814
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
46
Blocked Shots
16
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
720
Offsides
30
Fouls
207
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1622
Touches in the Opposition Box
1538
Passes
72% (209/291)89% (592/667)
Passes in the final third
59% (37/63)81% (158/196)
Crosses
20% (1/5)18% (5/28)
Tackles
71% (17/24)57% (13/23)
Clearances Total
269
Interceptions
1013

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Qasem A. , Zeneli B. (A),
  • 61', Huseynov B. 🟨,
  • 67', Kashchuk O. , Leandro Andrade ,
  • 70', Zeneli A. , Rapp G. ,
  • 77', Qasem A. , Kaib R. ,
  • 77', Baidoo M. , Holten E. ,
  • 78', Romao J. , Addai E. ,
  • 78', Vesovic M. , Bayramov T. ,
  • 80', Juninho 🟨,
  • 86', Jankovic M. 🟨,
  • 86', Kaib R. 🟨,
  • 87', Jankovic M. , Andrade P. ,
  • 87', Cafarquliyev E. , Akhundzade N. ,

Chances of winning


Elfsborg
36.6%
Draw
27%
Qarabağ Agdam
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 29% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 29.8% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elfsborg's form might have worsened.
  • Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elfsborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elfsborg - Qarabağ Agdam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.05)
    3.56
    (3.15)
    2.64
    (3.45)
    4.1%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Qarabağ Agdam?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 22%61.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Elfsborg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Qarabağ is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Elfsborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Qarabağ have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elfsborg: Frick P. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    06.12.2024 Elfsborg - Häcken 5:1
    28.11.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Elfsborg 3:0
    10.11.2024 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    07.11.2024 Elfsborg - Braga 1:1
    02.11.2024 Elfsborg - Västerås SK 1:0
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    07.12.2024 Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam 1:1
    04.12.2024 Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam 0:2
    28.11.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Lyon 1:4
    23.11.2024 Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam 0:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    17ServetteBye
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    24ByeBrann
    25PanathinaikosBye
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    29Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    32ByeNoah
    33RijekaBye
    36ByeShelbourne
    37RFSBye
    40ByeKuPS
    41HamrunBye
    44ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    45ZrinjskiBye
    48ByeBreidablik
    49FCSBBye
    52ByeDrita

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9ServetteBye
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    12ByeBrann
    13PanathinaikosBye
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    15Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    16ByeNoah
    17RijekaBye
    18ByeShelbourne
    19RFSBye
    20ByeKuPS
    21HamrunBye
    22ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    23ZrinjskiBye
    24ByeBreidablik
    25FCSBBye
    26ByeDrita

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadMidtjylland
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3AEK LarnacaLegia
    4CFR ClujBraga
    5ServetteUtrecht
    6HackenBrann
    7PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    8Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    9RijekaShelbourne
    10RFSKuPS
    11HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ZrinjskiBreidablik
    13FCSBDrita