Result
2:1
30/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', D'Almeida S. 🟨,
- 39', Safarov E. 🟨,
- 41', Montiel J. 🟨,
- 42', Montiel J. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Safarov E. ⚽,
- 71', Jankovic M. ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
- 71', Leandro Andrade ↓, Addai E. ↑,
- 74', Faraj I. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
- 74', Safarov E. ↓, Mathew I. ↑,
- 75', Vargas F. 🟨,
- 83', Ortiz L. ↓, Seck M. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Badalov E. (Own goal),
- 90', Mahmudov E. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
- 90', Balayev E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kady Borges 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Sambou B. ⚽,
- 90+3', Sambou B. 🟨,
- 90+6', Duran C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
20.7% | Draw
24.5% | Qarabağ Agdam
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neftchi Baku's form might have worsened.Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.
Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.42 ↑
(2.97) |
3.75 ↑
(3.51) |
1.67 ↓
(2.15) |
9.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftchi (votes: 2 - 50%). Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Qarabağ Agdam will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 0.
- Qarabağ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Qarabağ is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 10:58. (average 0.5:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:26. (average 0.6:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Neftchi Baku has won 0 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Neftchi Baku?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 15 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam were as follows:
26.04.2026
Neftchi Baku
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:5
09.11.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Neftchi Baku
2:0
19.04.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Neftchi Baku
3:0
16.02.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:1
01.12.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:3
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
